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Brazil: Cearense U20 - Playoff
Brazil: Cearense U20 - Playoff
31.07.2026 10:30 UTC Match prediction
31.07.2026 10:30 UTC
Finished

Brazil: Cearense U20 - Playoff

Mexico U20 - Guatemala U20

Football
M
Mexico U20
0 : 0
Finished
G
Guatemala U20
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Mexico U20 — 66%

1 · Mexico U20 ✓ Pick66.0%
market77%
X · draw16.9%
market15%
2 · Guatemala U2017.1%
market9%

Model estimate: win Mexico U20 66.0%, draw 16.9%, win Guatemala U20 17.1%. Model favourite — Mexico U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mexico U20 - Guatemala U20 July 31, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Mexico U20.

Line favourite Fonbet: Mexico U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 5.20 / 2 9.00
  • Glicko: Mexico U20 66.0% / X 16.9% / Guatemala U20 17.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 29.4%
1 ✓ Pick 76.5%
X 14.9%
2 8.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

CONCACAF U20
League table
Mexico U20
#19 ptsGP 33-0-09:0
ARRAY
Guatemala U20
#73 ptsGP 31-0-24:5
ARRAY
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Mexico U20
W-D-L 7-3-0 Scored 2.39 Conceded 0.34 xG 3.17 xGA 0.63
Guatemala U20
W-D-L 3-3-4 Scored 1.69 Conceded 1.05 xG 1.49 xGA 1.50

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Mexico U20 4 : 0 Guatemala U20
11.18
X6.05
211.70

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 10:30 UTC
Market 1 76.5% @ 1.01 / X 14.9% @ 5.20 / 2 8.6% @ 9.00
Match center

Mexico U20 - Guatemala U20

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line
More needed
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 66.0% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.155 / LogLoss 1.778
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 66.0% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.155 / LogLoss 1.778
Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 66.0% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.155 / LogLoss 1.778
Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 66.0% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.155 / LogLoss 1.778
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mexico U20 77.6% 66.0% market and model agree
Draw 14.6% 16.9% draw risk
Guatemala U20 7.8% 17.1%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 66.0% / 16.9% / 17.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,644 / 1,302 CEFAT Tirol U20 / Anjos do Ceu U20
RD 214 / 203 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,217-2,071 / 897-1,708 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.00 Fonbet · no value · model 17.1%
X 5.20 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 66.0%
Double chance
12 1.13 Fonbet · no value · model 83.1%
1X 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 82.9%
Handicap
2 0 6.30 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.16 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 4.40 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.20 83.3% 1.56 64.1%
yes 3.80 26.3% 2.29 43.7%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.13 88.5%
1x 1.05 95.2%
x2 11.00 9.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.61 62.1%
X 2.63 38.0%
9.20 10.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.56 64.1%
Over 1.5 2.27 44.1%
Under 1 2.28 43.9%
Under 1.5 1.57 63.7%
Match center
Mexico U20
W
25.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Cearense U20 - Playoff
Mexico U20 3:0 Anjos do Ceu U20
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Guatemala U20
L
25.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Cearense U20 - Playoff
Guatemala U20 0:3 Tirol U20
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMexico U20 - Guatemala U20

Mexico U20
1 matches total
Guatemala U20
Mexico U20: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Guatemala U20: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Tirol U20 3:0 (25.07 16:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (3:0, 25.07 16:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

25.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Cearense U20 - Playoff
Tirol U20
3:0
Anjos do Ceu U20