Brazil: Cearense U20 - Playoff
Ferroviario U20 - Fortaleza U20
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Fortaleza U20 — 53%
Pure model vs market (2 · Fortaleza U20): model 22% · market 78% Δ −56 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Ferroviario U20 22.1%, draw 24.7%, win Fortaleza U20 53.3%. Model favourite — Fortaleza U20.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Ferroviario U20 - Fortaleza U20 July 25, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fortaleza U20.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 15.00 / X 5.00 / 2 1.06
- Glicko: Ferroviario U20 22.1% / X 24.7% / Fortaleza U20 53.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Ferroviario U20 - Fortaleza U20
What data is collected and where it is shown
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.81 55.3% |
| yes | 1.90 52.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.20 83.3% | 1.11 90.1% |
| 1x | 2.10 47.6% | 6.00 16.7% |
| x2 | 1.11 90.1% | 1.01 99.0% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 5.40 18.5% | |
| X | 2.12 47.2% |
| 2.20 45.5% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.88 53.2% |
| Under 1 | 1.82 55.0% |
Fortaleza U20
Vasko da Gama U20
Kruzeyro U20
Full head-to-head historyFerroviario U20 - Fortaleza U20
Match history
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The Ferroviario U20 - Fortaleza U20 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form