Brazil: Cearense U20 - Playoff
Joinville U20 take on Carlos Renaux U20 on August 1, 2026 in the Brazil: Cearense U20 - Playoff.
Recent form (W-D-L): Joinville U20 1-0-0, Carlos Renaux U20 0-0-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 64% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Joinville U20 — 64%
Pure model vs market (1 · Joinville U20): model 46% · market 80% Δ −34 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Joinville U20 63.9%, draw 22.8%, win Carlos Renaux U20 13.2%. Model favourite — Joinville U20.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Joinville U20.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.20 83.3% | 1.68 59.5% |
| yes | 3.75 26.7% | 2.06 48.5% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.17 85.5% | 1.11 90.1% |
| 1x | 1.02 98.0% | 1.02 98.0% |
| x2 | 2.65 37.7% | 10.50 9.5% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.92 52.1% | |
| X | 2.18 45.9% |
| 7.60 13.2% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.36 73.5% |
| Over 1 | 1.82 55.0% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.91 34.4% |
| Under 1 | 1.88 53.2% |
Joinville U20
Fortaleza U20
Full head-to-head historyJoinville U20 - Carlos Renaux U20
The Joinville U20 - Carlos Renaux U20 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
