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Brazil: Cearense U20 - Playoff
Brazil: Cearense U20 - Playoff
27.07.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction
27.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil: Cearense U20 - Playoff

Quixada U20 - Floresta U20

Football
Q
Quixada U20
0 : 1
Finished
F
Floresta U20
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Quixada U20 — 47%

1 · Quixada U2047.4%
X · draw19.9%
2 · Floresta U2032.7%

Model estimate: win Quixada U20 47.4%, draw 19.9%, win Floresta U20 32.7%. Model favourite — Quixada U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Quixada U20 - Floresta U20 July 27, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Quixada U20.

Line favourite market consensus: Quixada U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.80 / X 3.60 / 2 3.40
  • Glicko: Quixada U20 47.4% / X 19.9% / Floresta U20 32.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 12.7%
1 49.3%
X 24.6%
2 26.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Quixada U20 0 : 3 Floresta U20

Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 27.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Quixada U20 - Floresta U20

Form 2/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 47.4% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.718 / LogLoss 1.119
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 47.4% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.718 / LogLoss 1.119
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Quixada U20 49.3% 47.4% market and model agree
Draw 24.6% 19.9% draw risk
Floresta U20 26.1% 32.7%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 47.4% / 19.9% / 32.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,596 Quixada U20 / Floresta U20
RD 255 / 252 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 990-2,010 / 1,092-2,099 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.40 market consensus · no value · model 32.7%
X 3.60 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.80 market consensus · no value · model 47.4%
Total
Over 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.15 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Total

Outcome Bet365
Over 2.5 1.67 60.0%
Under 2.5 2.15 46.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Bet365
1.80 55.6%
X 3.60 27.8%
3.40 29.4%
Match center
Quixada U20
L W
18.07 16:00 UTC+0 Brazil: Cearense U20 Standings
Quixada U20 0:3 Seara U20Seara U20
07.06 16:00 UTC+0 Brazil: Cearense U20 Standings
Quixada U20 1:0 Anjos do Ceu U20
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points
Floresta U20
W W W D
19.07 16:00 UTC+0 Brazil: Cearense U20 Standings
Floresta U20 1:0 Kaukaya U20
10.07 16:00 UTC+0 Brazil: Cearense U20 Standings
Floresta U20 71:63 Khorizonte U20
04.07 10:30 UTC+0 Brazil: Cearense U20 Standings
Floresta U20 1:0 Anjos do Ceu U20
06.06 16:00 UTC+0 Brazil: Cearense U20 Standings
Floresta U20 1:1 Tirol U20
3 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
18.5 Scored
16.0 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyQuixada U20 - Floresta U20

Quixada U20
0 matches total
Floresta U20
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history