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Brazil: Cearense U20 - Playoff
Brazil: Cearense U20 - Playoff
26.07.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction
26.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil: Cearense U20 - Playoff

Vila Real U20 - Camacariense U20

Football
Vila Real U20
Vila Real U20
0 : 2
Finished
Camacariense U20
Camacariense U20
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Camacariense U20 — 56%

Pure model vs market (2 · Camacariense U20): model 49% · market 59% Δ −10 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Vila Real U2021.3%
X · draw22.7%
2 · Camacariense U2056.0%

Model estimate: win Vila Real U20 21.3%, draw 22.7%, win Camacariense U20 56.0%. Model favourite — Camacariense U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Vila Real U20 - Camacariense U20 July 26, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Camacariense U20.

Line favourite market consensus: Camacariense U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.40 / X 4.80 / 2 1.80
  • Glicko: Vila Real U20 21.3% / X 22.7% / Camacariense U20 56.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin -5.1%
1 19.5%
X 22.0%
2 58.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Vila Real U20 6 : 0 Camacariense U20

Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 26.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Vila Real U20 - Camacariense U20

Form 1/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 56.0% fact: away hit / ROI 80.0% / Brier 0.291 / LogLoss 0.580
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 56.0% fact: away hit / ROI 80.0% / Brier 0.291 / LogLoss 0.580
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Vila Real U20 20.8% 21.3%
Draw 22.7% 22.7% draw risk
Camacariense U20 56.4% 56.0% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 21.3% / 22.7% / 56.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,586 / 1,773 Vila Real U20 / Camacariense U20
RD 282 / 211 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,022-2,151 / 1,351-2,196 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.65 market consensus · no value · model 56.0%
X 4.05 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 4.47 market consensus · no value · model 21.3%
Handicap
2 -1 2.25 market consensus · line only
1 +1 1.55 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.57 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.35 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.21 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.59 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.21 45.3%
yes 1.59 62.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.36 22.9%
X 2.29 43.7%
2.25 44.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.58 63.3%
Over 1.5 2.26 44.3%
Under 1 2.23 44.8%
Under 1.5 1.57 63.7%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.55 64.5%
2.25 44.4%
Match center
Vila Real U20
W
19.07 16:00 UTC+0 Brazil: Cearense U20 Standings
Vila Real U20 2:1 Alianka U20
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Camacariense U20
D W W W
23.07 21:00 UTC+0 Brazil: Brasileiro U20 B - Playoff
Camacariense U20 1:1 Goyas U20
18.07 16:00 UTC+0 Brazil: Cearense U20 Standings
Camacariense U20 3:0 Kishada U20
03.07 10:30 UTC+0 Brazil: Cearense U20 Standings
Camacariense U20 10:0 Juazeiro CE U20Juazeiro CE U20
01.07 21:00 UTC+0 Brazil: Brasileiro U20 B - Playoff
Camacariense U20 2:1 Atletiko Mineyro U20Atletiko Mineyro U20
3 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
10 Points