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Brazil: Gaucho 2 Standings
Brazil: Gaucho 2 Standings
02.08.2026 18:00 UTC Match prediction
02.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil: Gaucho 2 Standings

Passo Fundo - Apafut

Football
P
Passo Fundo
1 : 0
Finished
A
Apafut

Passo Fundo take on Apafut on August 2, 2026 in the Brazil: Gaucho 2 Standings.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 58% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Passo Fundo — 58%

Pure model vs market (1 · Passo Fundo): model 44% · market 74% Δ −30 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Passo Fundo57.7%
X · draw25.3%
2 · Apafut17.0%

Model estimate: win Passo Fundo 57.7%, draw 25.3%, win Apafut 17.0%. Model favourite — Passo Fundo.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Passo Fundo (odds1.48) Score 2:1 confidence 52% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Model backs Pasu-Fundu: probability 52% vs 68% on the line (odds 1.48)
  • • no edge over the line (-15 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Passo Fundo - Apafut August 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Passo Fundo.

Line favourite Fonbet: Passo Fundo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.05 / X 6.20 / 2 5.90
  • Glicko: Passo Fundo 57.7% / X 25.3% / Apafut 17.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 28.3%
1 74.2%
X 12.6%
2 13.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Passo Fundo 1 : 1 Apafut
11.55
X3.50
25.85

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market 1 74.2% @ 1.05 / X 12.6% @ 6.20 / 2 13.2% @ 5.90
Match center

Passo Fundo - Apafut

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line
More needed
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, table home - 57.7% fact: home hit / ROI 57.0% / Brier 0.272 / LogLoss 0.550
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, table home - 57.7% fact: home hit / ROI 57.0% / Brier 0.272 / LogLoss 0.550
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Passo Fundo 58.6% 57.7% market and model agree
Draw 25.5% 25.3% draw risk
Apafut 16.0% 17.0%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 57.7% / 25.3% / 17.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Passo Fundo / Apafut
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.73 market consensus · no value · model 17.0%
X 6.20 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 57.7%
Double chance
12 1.06 Fonbet · no value · model 74.7%
1X 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 83.0%
X2 6.50 Fonbet · no value · model 42.3%
Handicap
2 +1 1.72 market consensus · line only
2 0 4.40 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.01 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.15 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.61 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.18 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.61 62.1%
yes 2.18 45.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.06 94.3%
1x 1.07 93.5% 1.10 90.9% 1.01 99.0%
x2 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 6.50 15.4%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.14 46.7%
X 2.03 49.3%
6.60 15.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.09 47.9%
Under 1 1.66 60.2%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPasso Fundo - Apafut

Passo Fundo
0 matches total
Apafut
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history