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Brazil: Goyyano 2 Standings
Brazil: Goyyano 2 Standings
29.07.2026 20:30 UTC Match prediction
29.07.2026 20:30 UTC
Finished

Brazil: Goyyano 2 Standings

Goianesia - Gremio Anapolis

Football
G
Goianesia
2 : 1
Finished
G
Gremio Anapolis
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Goianesia — 59%

Pure model vs market (1 · Goianesia): model 56% · market 51% Δ +5 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Goianesia ✓ Pick58.5%
market51%
X · draw24.5%
market44%
2 · Gremio Anapolis17.0%
market6%

Model estimate: win Goianesia 58.5%, draw 24.5%, win Gremio Anapolis 17.0%. Model favourite — Goianesia.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Goianesia (odds1.81) Score 2:1 confidence 55% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • • Model backs Goyaniya: probability 55% vs 55% on the line (odds 1.81)
  • • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Goianesia - Gremio Anapolis July 29, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Goianesia.

Line favourite Fonbet: Goianesia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / X 1.20 / 2 9.50
  • Glicko: Goianesia 58.5% / X 24.5% / Gremio Anapolis 17.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 90.0%
1 ✓ Pick 50.6%
X 43.9%
2 5.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Goianesia 1 : 1 Gremio Anapolis
11.64
X3.64
24.63

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 20:30 UTC
Match center

Goianesia - Gremio Anapolis

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 58.5% fact: home hit / ROI 57.0% / Brier 0.261 / LogLoss 0.536
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 58.5% fact: home hit / ROI 57.0% / Brier 0.261 / LogLoss 0.536
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Goianesia 58.6% 58.5% market and model agree
Draw 24.7% 24.5% draw risk
Gremio Anapolis 16.6% 17.0%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 58.5% / 24.5% / 17.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,626 / 1,374 Goianesia / Gremio Anapolis
RD 291 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,044-2,208 / 792-1,956 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.50 Fonbet · no value · model 17.0%
X 1.20 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 58.5%
Double chance
12 3.65 Fonbet · weak value +175.6% · model 75.5%
1X 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 83.0%
X2 7.00 Fonbet · no value · model 41.5%
Handicap
2 +1 1.73 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.70 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.00 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 5.30 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.12 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.50 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.41 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.50 66.7%
yes 2.41 41.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.20 83.3% 1.23 81.3% 3.65 27.4%
1x 1.09 91.7% 1.11 90.1% 1.03 97.1%
x2 2.17 46.1% 2.30 43.5% 7.00 14.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.15 46.5%
X 2.04 49.0%
6.50 15.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.21 45.3%
Under 1 1.60 62.5%
Match center
Goianesia
W
26.07 17:00 UTC Brazil: Goyyano 2 Standings
Goianesia 1:0 Mineiros
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Gremio Anapolis
L
25.07 17:00 UTC Brazil: Goyyano 2 Standings
Gremio Anapolis 0:1 Morrinhos
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points