Match center
Start
30.07.2026 18:00 UTC
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30.07.2026 18:00 UTC
Finished
Brazil: Goyyano 2 Standings
Trindade - Bom Jesus
T
Trindade
2
:
2
Finished
B
Bom Jesus
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Trindade — 48%
Model estimate: win Trindade 48.2%, draw 19.7%, win Bom Jesus 32.1%. Model favourite — Trindade.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Trindade (odds2.07)
Score 1:0
confidence 50%
✗ outcome missed
- • Model backs Trindade: probability 50% vs 48% on the line (odds 2.07)
- • edge over the line +2 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Trindade - Bom Jesus July 30, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Glicko: Trindade 48.2% / X 19.7% / Bom Jesus 32.1%
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Match center
Trindade - Bom Jesus
Form
2/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Form
Match
Participants
More needed
Market
fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line
fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
2:2
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: form, table
home - 48.2% fact: draw
missed / Brier 0.979 / LogLoss 1.622
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: form, table
home - 48.2% fact: draw
missed / Brier 0.979 / LogLoss 1.622
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Trindade
-
48.2%
model pick
Draw
-
19.7%
draw risk
Bom Jesus
-
32.1%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
48.2% / 19.7% / 32.1%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,400 / 1,481
Trindade / Bom Jesus
RD
291 / 291
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
818-1,982 / 899-2,063
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.08
Fonbet · no value · model 32.1%
X
6.50
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
Double chance
12
1.05
Fonbet · no value · model 80.3%
1X
5.50
Fonbet · weak value +273.7% · model 67.9%
X2
1.01
Fonbet · no value · model 51.8%
Handicap
2 0
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.53
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
2.35
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.05 95.2% |
| 1x | 5.50 18.2% |
| x2 | 1.01 99.0% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.07 93.5% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 7.80 12.8% | |
| 13.00 7.7% | |
| 6.90 14.5% | |
| 13.00 7.7% | |
| 1.05 95.2% | |
| 1.01 99.0% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.15 87.0% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.53 65.4% |
| Over 3.5 | 12.00 8.3% |
| Over 4.5 | 13.00 7.7% |
| Under 1.5 | 4.70 21.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 2.35 42.6% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.01 99.0% |
| Under 4.5 | 1.01 99.0% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.57 63.7% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.75 36.4% |
| Over 2.5 | 6.20 16.1% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.25 44.4% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.40 71.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.09 91.7% |
Match center
Trindade
D
L
Trindade
2:2
Mineiros
Trindade
1:2
Tupy FC
0
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
1.5
Scored
2.0
Conceded
1
Points
Bom Jesus
W
D
Bom Jesus
2:1
Morrinhos
Bom Jesus
0:0
Goyaneziya
1
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
1.0
Scored
0.5
Conceded
4
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyTrindade - Bom Jesus
Trindade
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form