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Brazil: Kopa Betano
Brazil: Kopa Betano
31.07.2026 22:30 UTC
Finished

Brazil: Kopa Betano

Atletiko Mineyro - Zhuventude

Football
A
Atletiko Mineyro
3 : 0
Finished
Zhuventude
Zhuventude
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Atletiko Mineyro63%

Pure model vs market (1 · Atletiko Mineyro): model 46% · market 64% Δ −18 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Atletiko Mineyro ✓ Pick62.9%
market64%
X · draw23.0%
market23%
2 · Zhuventude14.1%
market13%

Model estimate: win Atletiko Mineyro 62.9%, draw 23.0%, win Zhuventude 14.1%. Model favourite — Atletiko Mineyro.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Atletiko Mineyro (odds1.33) Score 2:1 confidence 59% ✓ outcome correct
  • Model backs Atletiko Mineyro: probability 59% vs 75% on the line (odds 1.33)
  • no edge over the line (-16 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atletiko Mineyro - Zhuventude July 31, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atletiko Mineyro.

Line favourite market consensus: Atletiko Mineyro. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.47 / X 4.10 / 2 7.30
  • Glicko: Atletiko Mineyro 62.9% / X 23.0% / Zhuventude 14.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.1%
1 ✓ Pick 64.1%
X 23.0%
2 12.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Copa Do Brasil
League table
Atletiko Mineyro
#443 ptsGP 21-0-13:3
ARRAY
Zhuventude
#310 ptsGP 53-1-112:3
ARRAY
Best price across 11 books
1 1.46 10Bet
X 4.40 Dafabet
2 8.50 Betfair

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Atletiko Mineyro
W-D-L 5-1-4 Scored 1.65 Conceded 1.10 xG 1.56 xGA 0.87 Corners 7.2
Zhuventude
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 2.07 Conceded 1.01 xG 1.33 xGA 1.08 Corners 5.5

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Atletiko Mineyro
Rating 1736 xG 1.75 Win 55%
Zhuventude
Rating 1846 xG 1.01 Win 22%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 22:30 UTC
Market 1 64.1% @ 1.47 / X 23.0% @ 4.10 / 2 12.9% @ 7.30
Match center

Atletiko Mineyro - Zhuventude

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 3:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 58.8% fact: home hit / ROI 24.0% / Brier 0.255 / LogLoss 0.531
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 58.8% fact: home hit / ROI 24.0% / Brier 0.255 / LogLoss 0.531
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Atletiko Mineyro 64.0% 62.9% market and model agree
Draw 22.9% 23.0% draw risk
Zhuventude 13.1% 14.1%
xG - 1.75 : 1.01
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 62.9% / 23.0% / 14.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,718 / 1,678 Atletiko Mineyro / Zhuventude
RD 215 / 150 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,288-2,149 / 1,377-1,978 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.23 market consensus · no value · model 14.1%
X 4.10 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.47 market consensus · no value · model 62.9%
Double chance
12 1.21 market consensus · no value · model 77.0%
1X 1.08 market consensus · no value · model 85.9%
X2 2.58 market consensus · no value · model 37.1%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.72 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.94 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.20 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.81 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.17 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 4.50 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.59 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.26 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.59 62.9%
yes 2.26 44.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.21 82.6% 1.21 82.6%
1x 1.08 92.6% 1.07 93.5%
x2 2.60 38.5% 2.55 39.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.03 49.3%
X 2.22 45.1%
7.90 12.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.03 49.3%
Under 1 1.73 57.8%
Match center
Atletiko Mineyro
W W W W L
26.07 20:30 UTC+0 Brazil: Seriya A Betano Standings
Atletiko Mineyro 2:1 Palmeyras
21.07 20:30 UTC+0 Brazil: Seriya A Betano Standings
Atletiko Mineyro 3:2 BaiyaBaiya
31.05 17:00 UTC+0 Brazil: Seriya A Betano Standings
Atletiko Mineyro 1:0 Vasko da GamaVasko da Gama
27.05 22:00 UTC+0 Fonbet football live
Atletiko Mineyro 1:0 Akademiya Puerto Kabelo
24.05 21:30 UTC+0 Fonbet football live
Atletiko Mineyro 0:1 Korintians SP
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
12 Points
Zhuventude
W L W W D
28.07 20:30 UTC+0 Brazil: Championship Brazil V Standings
Zhuventude 1:0 AvaiAvai
23.07 22:30 UTC+0 Brazil: Championship Brazil V Standings
Zhuventude 2:4 Botafogo San-PauluBotafogo San-Paulu
17.07 20:00 UTC+0 Brazil: Championship Brazil V Standings
Zhuventude 2:0 KuyabaKuyaba
10.07 20:00 UTC+0 Brazil: Championship Brazil V Standings
Zhuventude 1:0 Vila NovaVila Nova
05.07 21:30 UTC+0 Brazil: Championship Brazil V Standings
Zhuventude 0:0 NautikoNautiko
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points