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Brazil: Kopa Betano

31.07.2026 22:30 UTC Match prediction

31.07.2026 22:30 UTC

Finished

Brazil: Kopa Betano

Atletico Mineiro - Juventude RS

Football

Atletico Mineiro

3 : 0

Finished

Juventude RS

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Atletico Mineiro — 59%

Pure model vs market (1 · Atletico Mineiro): model 46% · market 64% Δ −18 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Atletico Mineiro58.8%

market64%

X · draw19.9%

market23%

2 · Juventude RS21.3%

market13%

Model estimate: win Atletico Mineiro 58.8%, draw 19.9%, win Juventude RS 21.3%. Model favourite — Atletico Mineiro.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Atletico Mineiro (odds1.33) Score 2:1 confidence 59% ✓ outcome correct

• Model backs Atletiko Mineyro: probability 59% vs 75% on the line (odds 1.33)
• no edge over the line (-16 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atletico Mineiro - Juventude RS July 31, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atletico Mineiro.

Line favourite market consensus: Atletico Mineiro. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.47 / X 4.10 / 2 7.30
Glicko: Atletico Mineiro 58.8% / X 19.9% / Juventude RS 21.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.1%

1 64.1%

X 23.0%

2 12.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Copa Do Brasil

League table

Atletico Mineiro

#443 ptsGP 21-0-13:3

ARRAY

Juventude RS

#310 ptsGP 53-1-112:3

ARRAY

Best price across 11 books

1 1.46 10Bet

X 4.40 Dafabet

2 8.50 Betfair

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Atletico Mineiro

W-D-L 5-1-4 Scored 1.65 Conceded 1.10 xG 1.56 xGA 0.87 Corners 7.2

Juventude RS

W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 2.07 Conceded 1.01 xG 1.33 xGA 1.08 Corners 5.5

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Atletico Mineiro

Rating 1736 xG 1.75 Win 55%

Juventude RS

Rating 1846 xG 1.01 Win 22%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center

Start 31.07.2026 22:30 UTC

Market 1 64.1% @ 1.47 / X 23.0% @ 4.10 / 2 12.9% @ 7.30

Match center

Atletico Mineiro - Juventude RS

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 3:0

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 58.8% fact: home hit / ROI 24.0% / Brier 0.255 / LogLoss 0.531

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 58.8% fact: home hit / ROI 24.0% / Brier 0.255 / LogLoss 0.531

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Atletico Mineiro 73.4% 58.8% market and model agree

Draw 16.3% 19.9% draw risk

Juventude RS 10.3% 21.3%

1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 58.8% / 19.9% / 21.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,718 / 1,678 Atletico Mineiro / Juventude RS

RD 215 / 150 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,288-2,149 / 1,377-1,978 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 7.23 market consensus · no value · model 21.3%

X 4.10 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.47 market consensus · no value · model 58.8%

Double chance

12 1.21 market consensus · no value · model 80.1%

1X 1.08 market consensus · no value · model 78.7%

X2 2.58 market consensus · no value · model 41.2%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.61 market consensus · line only

2 +1 1.94 market consensus · line only

2 0 2.20 market consensus · line only

1 -1 1.81 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.17 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 4.50 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.59 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.26 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	1.59 62.9%
yes	2.26 44.3%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
12	1.21 82.6%	1.21 82.6%
1x	1.08 92.6%	1.07 93.5%
x2	2.60 38.5%	2.55 39.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	2.03 49.3%
X	2.23 44.8%
	7.80 12.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1	2.03 49.3%
Under 1	1.73 57.8%

Match center

Atletico Mineiro

W W W W L

26.07 20:30 UTC+0 Brazil: Seriya A Betano Standings

Atletico Mineiro 2:1 Palmeyras

21.07 20:30 UTC+0 Brazil: Seriya A Betano Standings

Atletico Mineiro 3:2 Baiya

31.05 17:00 UTC+0 Brazil: Seriya A Betano Standings

Atletico Mineiro 1:0 Vasko da Gama

27.05 22:00 UTC+0 Fonbet football live

Atletico Mineiro 1:0 Akademiya Puerto Kabelo

24.05 21:30 UTC+0 Fonbet football live

Atletico Mineiro 0:1 Korintians SP

4 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

1.4 Scored

0.8 Conceded

12 Points

Juventude RS

W L W W D

28.07 20:30 UTC+0 Brazil: Championship Brazil V Standings

Juventude RS 1:0 Avai

23.07 22:30 UTC+0 Brazil: Championship Brazil V Standings

Juventude RS 2:4 Botafogo San-Paulu

17.07 20:00 UTC+0 Brazil: Championship Brazil V Standings

Juventude RS 2:0 Kuyaba

10.07 20:00 UTC+0 Brazil: Championship Brazil V Standings

Juventude RS 1:0 Vila Nova

05.07 21:30 UTC+0 Brazil: Championship Brazil V Standings

Juventude RS 0:0 Nautiko

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

1.2 Scored

0.8 Conceded

10 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyAtletico Mineiro - Juventude RS

Atletico Mineiro

0 matches total

Juventude RS

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Atletico Mineiro - Juventude RS

AI match prediction Atletico Mineiro - Juventude RS July 31, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Statistics and model

Buy the full AI analysis

Atletico Mineiro - Juventude RS

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Both teams to score

Double chance

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Match history