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Start
30.07.2026 20:30 UTC
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30.07.2026 20:30 UTC
Finished
Brazil: Kopa Betano
Atletico Mineiro - Zhuventude
A
Atletico Mineiro
3
:
0
Finished
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Atletico Mineiro — 59%
Pure model vs market (1 · Atletico Mineiro): model 46% · market 73% Δ −27 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Atletico Mineiro 58.8%, draw 19.9%, win Zhuventude 21.3%. Model favourite — Atletico Mineiro.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Atletico Mineiro (odds1.33)
Score 2:1
confidence 59%
✓ outcome correct
- • Model backs Atletiko Mineyro: probability 59% vs 75% on the line (odds 1.33)
- • no edge over the line (-16 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Atletico Mineiro - Zhuventude July 30, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atletico Mineiro.
Line favourite market consensus: Atletico Mineiro. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.24 / X 5.60 / 2 8.80
- Glicko: Atletico Mineiro 58.8% / X 19.9% / Zhuventude 21.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 9.9%
1
73.4%
X
16.3%
2
10.3%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Atletico Mineiro - Zhuventude
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
3:0
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 58.8% fact: home
hit / ROI 24.0% / Brier 0.255 / LogLoss 0.531
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 58.8% fact: home
hit / ROI 24.0% / Brier 0.255 / LogLoss 0.531
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Atletico Mineiro
73.4%
58.8%
market and model agree
Draw
16.3%
19.9%
draw risk
Zhuventude
10.3%
21.3%
1X2: 1 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
58.8% / 19.9% / 21.3%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,718 / 1,678
Atletico Mineiro / Zhuventude
RD
215 / 150
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,288-2,149 / 1,377-1,978
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
8.80
market consensus · no value · model 21.3%
X
5.60
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.24
market consensus · no value · model 58.8%
Double chance
12
1.11
market consensus · no value · model 80.1%
1X
1.03
market consensus · no value · model 78.7%
X2
3.60
market consensus · no value · model 41.2%
Total
Over 2.5
1.17
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
4.50
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.11 90.1% |
| 1x | 1.03 97.1% |
| x2 | 3.60 27.8% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 1.69 59.2% | 1.06 94.3% | |
| — | 1.01 99.0% | |
| — | 2.30 43.5% | |
| — | 13.00 7.7% | |
| — | 5.60 17.9% | |
| 2.04 49.0% | — | |
| — | 7.30 13.7% | |
| — | 13.00 7.7% | |
| — | 1.55 64.5% | |
| — | 1.01 99.0% | |
| — | 1.11 90.1% |
Total
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.55 64.5% | 1.17 85.5% |
| Over 3.5 | 2.00 50.0% | 3.65 27.4% |
| Over 4.5 | — | 14.00 7.1% |
| Over 5.5 | — | 5.60 17.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 2.30 43.5% | 4.50 22.2% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.71 58.5% | 1.25 80.0% |
| Under 4.5 | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Under 5.5 | — | 1.11 90.1% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 8.50 11.8% |
| Under 0.5 | 1.05 95.2% |
Match center
Atletico Mineiro
W
W
W
W
L
Atletico Mineiro
2:1
Palmeyras
Atletico Mineiro
3:2
Baiya
Baiya
Atletico Mineiro
1:0
Vasko da Gama
Vasko da Gama
Atletico Mineiro
1:0
Akademiya Puerto Kabelo
Atletico Mineiro
0:1
Korintians SP
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.4
Scored
0.8
Conceded
12
Points
Zhuventude
W
L
W
W
D
Zhuventude
1:0
Avai
Avai
Zhuventude
2:4
Botafogo San-Paulu
Botafogo San-Paulu
Zhuventude
2:0
Kuyaba
Kuyaba
Zhuventude
1:0
Vila Nova
Vila Nova
Zhuventude
0:0
Nautiko
Nautiko
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
1.2
Scored
0.8
Conceded
10
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAtletico Mineiro - Zhuventude
Atletico Mineiro
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form