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Brazil: Kopa Betano
Brazil: Kopa Betano
03.08.2026 22:30 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data –Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
03.08.2026 22:30 UTC
Finished

Brazil: Kopa Betano

Gremio - Mirassol

Football
G
Gremio
1 : 2
Finished
M
Mirassol

Gremio take on Mirassol on August 3, 2026 in the Brazil: Kopa Betano.

Recent form (W-D-L): Gremio 0-0-1, Mirassol 1-0-0. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 32% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Mirassol — 49%

1 · Gremio31.6%
X · draw19.7%
2 · Mirassol48.7%

Model estimate: win Gremio 31.6%, draw 19.7%, win Mirassol 48.7%. Model favourite — Mirassol.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Mirassol (odds2.31) Score 0:1 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Model backs Mirassol: probability 50% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.31)
  • • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Gremio - Mirassol August 3, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: Gremio 31.6% / X 19.7% / Mirassol 48.7%

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Gremio 1 : 3 Mirassol
14.28
X3.31
21.94

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 03.08.2026 22:30 UTC
Match center

Gremio - Mirassol

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants H2H
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form, table away - 48.7% fact: away hit / Brier 0.402 / LogLoss 0.719
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: form, table away - 48.7% fact: away hit / Brier 0.402 / LogLoss 0.719
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Gremio - 31.6%
Draw - 19.7% draw risk
Mirassol - 48.7% model pick

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 31.6% / 19.7% / 48.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,455 / 1,602 Gremio / Mirassol
RD 251 / 218 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 954-1,956 / 1,167-2,037 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Match center
Gremio
L
02.08 21:00 UTC Brazil: Kopa Betano
Gremio 1:2 Mirassol
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Mirassol
W
02.08 21:00 UTC Brazil: Kopa Betano
Mirassol 2:1 Gremio
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGremio - Mirassol

Gremio
1 matches total
Mirassol
Gremio: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Mirassol: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Mirassol 1:2 (02.08 21:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 02.08 21:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

02.08 21:00 UTC Brazil: Kopa Betano
Gremio
1:2
Mirassol