Gremio face Mirassol on August 5, 2026 in the Brazil: Kopa Betano.
Recent form (W-D-L): Gremio 0-0-1, Mirassol 1-0-0. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 47% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1Gremio — 47%
Pure model vs market (1 · Gremio): model 37% · market 48%Δ −11 ppmodel estimates below the market
47%1
1 · Gremio46.9%
X · draw29.1%
2 · Mirassol24.0%
Model estimate: win Gremio 46.9%, draw 29.1%, win Mirassol 24.0%. Model favourite — Gremio.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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SStats data
Statistics and model
Copa Do Brasil
League table
Gremio
#117 ptsGP 32-1-06:1
Mirassol
#265 ptsGP 31-2-04:3
Best price
across 13 books
12.05Betano
X3.30Betano
24.29Pinnacle
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Main outcome
Agreement1/1
Confidence62.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
🧮
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Gremio1:3Mirassol
14.28
X3.31
21.94
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:2/7 ready· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
Google AIupdated04.08.2026 00:02 UTC
138%✓ favourite
X34%
228%
Score1:1Total goals: Under 2.5BTTS:YesBet:1X
Per AI dataH2H: 0-0-2
Claudeupdated04.08.2026 00:06 UTC
132%
X29%
239%✓ favourite
Score1:1Total goals: Under 2.5BTTS:NoBet:X2 (Mirassol ne proigraet) — 68%; vtoraya stavka Under 2.5
AI consensus:2
AI
1
X
2
Score
Total goals
BTTS
Bet
Google AI
38%
34%
28%
1:1
Under 2.5
Yes
1X
Claude
32%
29%
39%
1:1
Under 2.5
No
X2 (Mirassol ne proigraet) — 68%; vtoraya stavka Under 2.5
Buy the full AI analysis
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We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
OptionSignalPrediction / actualRating
Glicko-2: base favouriteAudit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: form, table
away - 48.7% fact: away
hit / Brier 0.402 / LogLoss 0.720
Glicko-2: calibrated favouriteAudit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: form, table
away - 48.7% fact: away
hit / Brier 0.402 / LogLoss 0.720
Market and Glicko
Football math model.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Gremio47.5%46.9%market and model agree
Draw29.5%29.1%draw risk
Mirassol23.0%24.0%
1X2: 3 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P246.9% / 29.1% / 24.0%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating1,455 / 1,602
Gremio / Mirassol
RD251 / 218
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD954-1,957 / 1,167-2,037
strength interval
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
24.07
market consensus · no value · model 24.0%
X3.16
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
11.97
market consensus · no value · model 46.9%
Double chance
121.31
market consensus · no value · model 70.9%
1X1.20
market consensus · no value · model 76.0%
X21.75
market consensus · no value · model 53.1%
Handicap
2 +0.51.78
market consensus · line only
2 02.85
market consensus · line only
1 -0.51.97
market consensus · line only
1 01.39
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.52.35
market consensus · line only
Under 2.51.55
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No1.71
market consensus · line only
Yes2.06
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
Outcome
Leon
no
1.7158.5%
yes
2.0648.5%
Double chance
Outcome
Baltbet
Betcity
12
1.2977.5%
1.3275.8%
1x
1.1984.0%
1.2182.6%
x2
1.7357.8%
1.7756.5%
First Half Winner
Outcome
Leon
2.8135.6%
X
1.9651.0%
4.9020.4%
Goals Over/Under First Half
Outcome
Leon
Over 1
2.2744.1%
Under 1
1.5962.9%
Match center
Form & head-to-head
H2H 0-1-3, avg 2.75 gls
2026-08-02 · Gremio PA 1:1 Mirasol
2026-07-17 · Gremio PA 1:2 Mirasol
2025-09-13 · Gremio PA 0:1 Mirasol
2025-04-16 · Gremio PA 1:4 Mirasol
Source: ruscore
Odds · 4 bookmakers
Best price: 1 2.09 (Winline) · X 3.2 (Betcity) · 2 4.3 (Pari)
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