Match center
Start
06.08.2026 23:00 UTC
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✓ Prematch ready
Prematch data
–Line
✓Form
✓H2H
✓Prediction
06.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Finished
Brazil: Kopa Betano
Vitoria - Atletico Paranaense
0
:
2
Finished
Vitoria face Atletico Paranaense on August 6, 2026 in the Brazil: Kopa Betano.
Recent form (W-D-L): Vitoria 0-0-1, Atletico Paranaense 1-0-0. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 29% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Atletico Paranaense — 51%
Model estimate: win Vitoria 28.8%, draw 20.3%, win Atletico Paranaense 50.9%. Model favourite — Atletico Paranaense.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Atletico Paranaense (odds2.21)
Score 0:1
confidence 50%
✓ outcome correct
- • Model backs Atletiko Paranaense: probability 50% vs 45% on the line (odds 2.21)
- • edge over the line +5 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Vitoria - Atletico Paranaense August 6, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Glicko: Vitoria 28.8% / X 20.3% / Atletico Paranaense 50.9%
SStats data
Statistics and model
Copa Do BrasilLeague table
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Vitoria
W-D-L 2-0-8
Scored 0.68
Conceded 1.36
xG 0.99
xGA 1.32
Corners 2.6
Atletico Paranaense
W-D-L 4-3-3
Scored 0.81
Conceded 0.53
xG 1.33
xGA 0.85
Corners 4.5
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Vitoria
Rating 1652
Atletico Paranaense
Rating 1843
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Vitoria
1
:
2
Atletico Paranaense
16.26
X3.48
21.65
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Vitoria - Atletico Paranaense
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Form
Match
Participants
More needed
Market
fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line
fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
0:2
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: form, table
away - 50.9% fact: away
hit / Brier 0.365 / LogLoss 0.675
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: form, table
away - 50.9% fact: away
hit / Brier 0.365 / LogLoss 0.675
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Vitoria
-
28.8%
Draw
-
20.3%
draw risk
Atletico Paranaense
-
50.9%
model pick
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
28.8% / 20.3% / 50.9%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,467 / 1,680
Vitoria Salvador / Atletico Paranaense
RD
151 / 249
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,164-1,769 / 1,182-2,178
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Match center
Form & head-to-head
H2H 1-0-3, avg 2.5 gls
2026-08-04 · Vitoriya BA 0:2 Atletiko Paranaense
2026-04-26 · Vitoriya BA 1:3 Atletiko Paranaense
2024-11-02 · Vitoriya BA 2:1 Atletiko Paranaense
2024-06-30 · Vitoriya BA 0:1 Atletiko Paranaense
Source: ruscore
Vitoria
L
Vitoria
0:1
Atletiko Paranaense
Atletiko Paranaense
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
0.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
0
Points
Atletico Paranaense
W
Atletico Paranaense
1:0
Vitoriya
Vitoriya
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
1.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyVitoria - Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
1
matches total
Vitoria: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Atletico Paranaense: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Atletiko Paranaense 0:1 (04.08 00:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
1 goals (0:1, 04.08 00:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Vitoriya
0:1
Atletiko Paranaense
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form