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Brazil: Paranaense 3 Standings
Brazil: Paranaense 3 Standings
27.07.2026 16:30 UTC
Finished

Brazil: Paranaense 3 Standings

CA Cambe - City London

Football
C
CA Cambe
0 : 2
Finished
C
City London
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 City London41%

Pure model vs market (2 · City London): model 33% · market 39% Δ −6 pp model estimates below the market

1 · CA Cambe32.2%
X · draw26.5%
2 · City London41.4%

Model estimate: win CA Cambe 32.2%, draw 26.5%, win City London 41.4%. Model favourite — City London.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1CA Cambe (odds2.95) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • Model backs CA Cambe: probability 50% vs 34% on the line (odds 2.95)
  • edge over the line +16 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction CA Cambe - City London July 27, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like City London.

Line favourite market consensus: City London. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.30 / X 3.56 / 2 2.70
  • Glicko: CA Cambe 32.2% / X 26.5% / City London 41.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin -4.6%
1 31.8%
X 29.4%
2 38.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

CA Cambe 1 : 1 City London
13.00
X3.34
22.12

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 27.07.2026 16:30 UTC
Match center

CA Cambe - City London

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line
More needed
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, table away - 41.4% fact: away hit / ROI 170.0% / Brier 0.517 / LogLoss 0.883
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, table away - 41.4% fact: away hit / ROI 170.0% / Brier 0.517 / LogLoss 0.883
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
CA Cambe 31.4% 32.2%
Draw 26.7% 26.5% draw risk
City London 41.9% 41.4% market and model agree
1X2: 5 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 32.2% / 26.5% / 41.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 CA Cambe / City London
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.33 market consensus · no value · model 41.4%
X 3.34 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.73 market consensus · no value · model 32.2%
Double chance
12 1.24 market consensus · no value · model 73.5%
1X 1.57 market consensus · no value · model 58.6%
X2 1.33 market consensus · no value · model 67.8%
Handicap
2 -1 2.70 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.60 market consensus · line only
1 +1 1.43 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.17 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.10 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.66 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
Yes 1.01 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 10.24 9.8%
yes 1.01 99.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.21 82.6% 1.27 78.7%
1x 1.52 65.8% 1.61 62.1%
x2 1.29 77.5% 1.36 73.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.69 27.1%
X 2.12 47.2%
2.72 36.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 1 1.88 53.2%
Over 2.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 3.5 2.16 46.3%
Over 4.5 2.11 47.4%
Under 0.5 2.55 39.2%
Under 1 1.82 55.0%
Under 2.5 2.10 47.6%
Under 3.5 1.57 63.7%
Under 4.5 1.60 62.5%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCA Cambe - City London

CA Cambe
0 matches total
City London
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history