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Brazil: Paranaense 3 Standings
Brazil: Paranaense 3 Standings
27.07.2026 16:30 UTC Match prediction
27.07.2026 16:30 UTC
Finished

Brazil: Paranaense 3 Standings

Hope Internacional - Iraty

Football
H
Hope Internacional
1 : 1
Finished
I
Iraty
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Hope Internacional — 51%

1 · Hope Internacional51.2%
X · draw19.5%
2 · Iraty29.3%

Model estimate: win Hope Internacional 51.2%, draw 19.5%, win Iraty 29.3%. Model favourite — Hope Internacional.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Hope Internacional (odds2.83) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Hope Internacional: probability 50% vs 35% on the line (odds 2.83)
  • • edge over the line +15 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hope Internacional - Iraty July 27, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Iraty.

Line favourite market consensus: Iraty. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.69 / X 3.09 / 2 2.47
  • Glicko: Hope Internacional 51.2% / X 19.5% / Iraty 29.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.0%
1 33.8%
X 29.4%
2 36.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Paranaense - 3
League table
Hope Internacional
#21 ptsGP 10-1-01:1
D
Iraty
#11 ptsGP 10-1-01:1
D
Best price across 6 books
1 2.62 William Hill
X 3.20 Bet365
2 2.65 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Hope Internacional
W-D-L 0-2-8 Scored 0.60 Conceded 2.31
Iraty
W-D-L 3-1-6 Scored 1.21 Conceded 2.24

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Hope Internacional
Rating 1285 xG 1.04 Win 31%
Iraty
Rating 1383 xG 1.22 Win 40%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Hope Internacional 1 : 2 Iraty
12.66
X3.00
22.48

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 27.07.2026 16:30 UTC
Match center

Hope Internacional - Iraty

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line
More needed
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 51.2% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.996 / LogLoss 1.634
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 51.2% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.996 / LogLoss 1.634
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Hope Internacional 33.8% 51.2% Glicko contrarian
Draw 29.4% 19.5% draw risk
Iraty 36.8% 29.3% market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 51.2% / 19.5% / 29.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,519 Hope Internacional / Iraty
RD 350 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 937-2,101 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.47 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 29.3%
X 3.09 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.69 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 51.2%
Handicap
2 0 1.80 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.93 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.99 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.73 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.99 50.3%
yes 1.73 57.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.44 29.1%
X 1.99 50.3%
3.16 31.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 1 1.91 52.4%
Under 0.5 3.21 31.2%
Under 1 1.79 55.9%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.90 52.6%
1.80 55.6%
Match center
Iraty
D
26.07 18:30 UTC+0 Fonbet football live
Iraty 1:1 Khoup Interneshnl
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHope Internacional - Iraty

Hope Internacional
0 matches total
Iraty
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history