Bulgaria. League 1
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 CSKA Sofia — 57%
Pure model vs market (1 · CSKA Sofia): model 45% · market 53% Δ −8 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win CSKA Sofia 56.7%, draw 24.1%, win Botev Plovdiv 19.2%. Model favourite — CSKA Sofia.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like CSKA Sofia.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi CSKA S - Botev P, 27 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Bolgarii po futbolu (First League) — 2026/27, 2 round. CSKA S - Botev P, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.75 36.4% | 1.96 51.0% |
| yes | 1.40 71.4% | 1.78 56.2% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.20 83.3% | 1.23 81.3% | 3.75 26.7% |
| 1x | 1.12 89.3% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.03 97.1% |
| x2 | 2.15 46.5% | 2.16 46.3% | 10.00 10.0% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.16 46.3% | |
| X | 2.31 43.3% |
| 5.40 18.5% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.72 58.1% |
| Under 1 | 2.01 49.8% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.5 | 3.95 | 6.9 |
| Winline | 1.49 | 3.85 | 6.2 |
| Fonbet | 1.5 | 3.95 | 6.9 |
| Betcity | 1.5 | 4.1 | 6.5 |
| Liga Stavok | 1.5 | 3.85 | 6.2 |
CSKA Sofia
Slaviya Sofiya
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Sofiya
Full head-to-head historyCSKA Sofia - Botev Plovdiv
CSKA S Botev P 1 Games 1 0 Wins 0 1 Draws 1 0 Losses 0 Scored 1 0 Conceded 1 Points 1 136 Attacks 168 91 Dangerous attacks 107 0 Big chances 0 21 Shots on goal 20 7 Udary v stvor 7 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 11 Uglovye 6 0 Offsaydy 0 12 Foly 6 64 % vladeniya myachom 63 2 Warnings 1 0 Sendoffs 0 Sleduyuschiy match 21.11.2026 Bulgaria — First League Botev P –:– CSKA S 15 round Goly Karlos Algarra 0:1 38' Yoel Zvarts 1 41' Yoel Zvarts Ioannis Pittas 2:1 89' Ioannis Pittas Fedor Lapoukhov 3:1 90+1' Asen Chandarov Georgi Milanov 3:2 90+3' Nakazaniya Mokhamed Braimi 19' Karlos Algarra 63' Timoti Avanyi 69' Samuel Kalu 77' Yoel Zvarts 84'
The CSKA Sofia - Botev Plovdiv breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
