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Bundesliga Germany

22.02.2026 18:30 UTC Match prediction

22.02.2026 18:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim - VfB Stuttgart

Germany Football

1. FC Heidenheim

3 : 3

Finished

VfB Stuttgart

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1. FC Heidenheim - VfB Stuttgart February 22, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfB Stuttgart.

Line favourite market consensus: VfB Stuttgart. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.58 / X 4.23 / 2 1.68
1X2 market: 1. FC Heidenheim 20.8% / X 22.5% / VfB Stuttgart 56.7%
Total 2.5: over probability 63.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%

1 20.8%

X 22.5%

2 56.7%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.5%

Over 2.5 63.0%

Under 2.5 37.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 22.02.2026 18:30 UTC

Match center

1. FC Heidenheim - VfB Stuttgart

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.68 market consensus · line only

X 4.24 market consensus · line only

1 4.60 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.20 market consensus · line only

12 1.22 market consensus · line only

1X 2.21 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.21 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 1.66 market consensus · line only

2 +1 2.10 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.49 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.54 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.42 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.53 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	4.74 21.1%
X	4.36 22.9%
	1.68 59.5%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	4.35 23.0%	4.60 21.7%	4.87 20.5%	4.40 22.7%	4.33 23.1%	4.80 20.8%
X	4.10 24.4%	4.40 22.7%	4.40 22.7%	4.00 25.0%	4.33 23.1%	4.40 22.7%
	1.67 59.9%	1.68 59.5%	1.72 58.1%	1.67 59.9%	1.67 59.9%	1.70 58.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.45 40.8%	2.56 39.1%	2.42 41.3%	2.30 43.5%	2.38 42.0%	2.40 41.7%	2.38 42.0%	2.39 41.8%	2.52 39.7%
yes	1.50 66.7%	1.52 65.8%	1.51 66.2%	1.53 65.4%	1.53 65.4%	1.53 65.4%	1.53 65.4%	1.51 66.2%	1.57 63.7%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.20 83.3%	1.22 82.0%	1.20 83.3%	1.20 83.3%	1.22 82.0%	1.14 87.7%
home_away	1.18 84.8%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.20 83.3%	1.22 82.0%	1.17 85.5%
home_draw	2.15 46.5%	2.26 44.3%	2.10 47.6%	2.15 46.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.20 45.5%

Match center

1. FC Heidenheim

L L L L D

15.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim 0:1 FC Augsburg

07.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim 0:2 Hamburger SV

01.02 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim 2:3 Borussia Dortmund

24.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim 0:3 RB Leipzig

17.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim 1:1 VfL Wolfsburg

0 Wins

1 Draws

4 Losses

0.6 Scored

2.0 Conceded

1 Points

VfB Stuttgart

W L W W D

14.02 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart 3:1 1. FC Köln

07.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart 1:2 FC St. Pauli

01.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart 1:0 Frayburg

25.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart 3:0 Borussia Mönchengladbach

18.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart 1:1 Union Berlin

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

1.8 Scored

0.8 Conceded

10 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head history1. FC Heidenheim - VfB Stuttgart

1. FC Heidenheim

2 matches total

VfB Stuttgart

1. FC Heidenheim: 1 (50%)

Draws:0 (0%)

VfB Stuttgart: 1 (50%)

Biggest win VfB Stuttgart 0:1 (05.10 13:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 05.10 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

05.10 13:30 UTC

Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim

0:1

VfB Stuttgart

25.04 18:30 UTC

Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim

1:0

VfB Stuttgart