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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
23.08.2025 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

1. FC Heidenheim - VfL Wolfsburg

Germany Football
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
1 : 3
Finished
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1. FC Heidenheim - VfL Wolfsburg August 23, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfL Wolfsburg.

Line favourite market consensus: VfL Wolfsburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.70 / X 3.41 / 2 2.57
  • 1X2 market: 1. FC Heidenheim 35.2% / X 27.9% / VfL Wolfsburg 37.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 35.2%
X 27.9%
2 37.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5 54.2%
Under 2.5 45.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.08.2025 13:30 UTC
Match center

1. FC Heidenheim - VfL Wolfsburg

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.58 market consensus · line only
X 3.42 market consensus · line only
1 2.71 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.46 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.52 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.50 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.19 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.54 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.07 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.08 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.29 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.58 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.75 36.4%
X 3.49 28.7%
2.66 37.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.66 37.6% 2.70 37.0% 2.82 35.5% 2.70 37.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.70 37.0%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.54 28.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.35 29.9%
2.56 39.1% 2.61 38.3% 2.65 37.7% 2.50 40.0% 2.60 38.5% 2.62 38.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.25 44.4% 2.41 41.5% 2.28 43.9% 2.30 43.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.38 42.0%
yes 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.61 62.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.45 69.0% 1.49 67.1% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.48 67.6%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.31 76.3% 1.34 74.6%
home_draw 1.50 66.7% 1.54 64.9% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.54 64.9%
Match center
1. FC Heidenheim
W D L W D
26.05 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 2:1 SV Elversberg
22.05 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 2:2 SV Elversberg
17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 1:4 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
10.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 3:0 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
02.05 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 0:0 VfL BochumVfL Bochum
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
8 Points
VfL Wolfsburg
W D L L D
17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 1:0 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
09.05 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 2:2 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
03.05 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 0:4 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
26.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 0:1 FrayburgFrayburg
19.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 2:2 MayntsMaynts
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
5 Points