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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
07.03.2026 17:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

1. FC Köln - Borussia Dortmund

Germany Football
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln
1 : 2
Finished
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund

1. FC Köln go head-to-head with Borussia Dortmund on March 7, 2026 in the Bundesliga, Germany.

Recent form (W-D-L): 1. FC Köln 1-1-3, Borussia Dortmund 3-1-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Sportsbooks lean towards Borussia Dortmund, an implied 52% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1. FC Köln - Borussia Dortmund March 7, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Borussia Dortmund.

Line favourite market consensus: Borussia Dortmund. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.02 / X 3.85 / 2 1.84
  • 1X2 market: 1. FC Köln 23.7% / X 24.7% / Borussia Dortmund 51.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 23.6%
X 24.7%
2 51.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.2%
Over 2.5 58.7%
Under 2.5 41.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 07.03.2026 17:30 UTC
Market 1 23.6% @ 4.02 / X 24.7% @ 3.85 / 2 51.7% @ 1.84
Match center

1. FC Köln - Borussia Dortmund

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.84 market consensus · line only
X 3.86 market consensus · line only
1 4.02 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.25 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 1.98 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.25 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.04 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.84 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.47 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.30 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.32 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.57 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.13 24.2%
X 3.97 25.2%
1.87 53.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.90 25.6% 4.15 24.1% 4.20 23.8% 3.80 26.3% 3.90 25.6% 4.10 24.4%
X 3.75 26.7% 3.90 25.6% 4.01 24.9% 3.70 27.0% 3.90 25.6% 4.00 25.0%
1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6% 1.89 52.9% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.30 43.5% 2.43 41.2% 2.30 43.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.35 42.6% 2.38 42.0% 2.27 44.1% 2.46 40.7%
yes 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.56 64.1% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.56 64.1% 1.59 62.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.20 83.3%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 1.93 51.8% 2.01 49.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 1.91 52.4%
Match center
1. FC Köln
L D L L W
27.02 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 0:2 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
21.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 2:2 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
14.02 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:3 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
08.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:2 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
30.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:0 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
4 Points
Borussia Dortmund
L D W W W
28.02 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 2:3 BavariyaBavariya
21.02 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 2:2 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
13.02 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 4:0 MayntsMaynts
07.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 2:1 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
01.02 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 3:2 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history1. FC Köln - Borussia Dortmund

1. FC Köln
1 matches total
Borussia Dortmund
1. FC Köln: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Borussia Dortmund: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Borussia Dortmund 0:1 (25.10 16:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 25.10 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

25.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln
0:1
Borussia Dortmund