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Bundesliga Germany

17.01.2026 14:30 UTC Match prediction

17.01.2026 14:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

1. FC Köln - FSV Mainz 05

Germany Football

1. FC Köln

2 : 1

Finished

FSV Mainz 05

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1. FC Köln - FSV Mainz 05 January 17, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like 1. FC Köln.

Line favourite market consensus: 1. FC Köln. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.11 / X 3.48 / 2 3.45
1X2 market: 1. FC Köln 45.1% / X 27.4% / FSV Mainz 05 27.6%
Total 2.5: over probability 52.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%

1 45.1%

X 27.3%

2 27.6%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%

Over 2.5 52.6%

Under 2.5 47.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 17.01.2026 14:30 UTC

Match center

1. FC Köln - FSV Mainz 05

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.46 market consensus · line only

X 3.49 market consensus · line only

1 2.11 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.74 market consensus · line only

12 1.31 market consensus · line only

1X 1.32 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.76 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.37 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.33 market consensus · line only

2 +1 6.10 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.82 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.02 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.17 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.65 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.14 46.7%
X	3.57 28.0%
	3.55 28.2%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.08 48.1%	2.12 47.2%	2.18 45.9%	2.05 48.8%	2.10 47.6%	2.12 47.2%
X	3.45 29.0%	3.60 27.8%	3.62 27.6%	3.30 30.3%	3.50 28.6%	3.50 28.6%
	3.40 29.4%	3.40 29.4%	3.58 27.9%	3.40 29.4%	3.50 28.6%	3.40 29.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.15 46.5%	2.17 46.1%	2.13 47.0%	2.15 46.5%	2.10 47.6%	2.15 46.5%	2.20 45.5%	2.12 47.2%	2.26 44.3%
yes	1.65 60.6%	1.70 58.8%	1.65 60.6%	1.65 60.6%	1.67 59.9%	1.65 60.6%	1.62 61.7%	1.64 61.0%	1.69 59.2%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.70 58.8%	1.77 56.5%	1.70 58.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.75 57.1%	1.78 56.2%
home_away	1.25 80.0%	1.33 75.2%	1.30 76.9%	1.28 78.1%	1.30 76.9%	1.33 75.2%
home_draw	1.30 76.9%	1.34 74.6%	1.30 76.9%	1.28 78.1%	1.34 74.6%	1.34 74.6%

Match center

1. FC Köln

L D L L D

14.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Köln 1:3 Bavariya

10.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Köln 2:2 1. FC Heidenheim

20.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Köln 0:1 Union Berlin

13.12 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Köln 0:2 Bayer Leverkusen

06.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Köln 1:1 FC St. Pauli

0 Wins

2 Draws

3 Losses

0.8 Scored

1.8 Conceded

2 Points

FSV Mainz 05

W D D D L

13.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 2:1 1. FC Heidenheim

10.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 2:2 Union Berlin

21.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 0:0 FC St. Pauli

14.12 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 2:2 Bavariya

05.12 19:30 UTC Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 0:1 Borussia Mönchengladbach

1 Wins

3 Draws

1 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.2 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head history1. FC Köln - FSV Mainz 05

1. FC Köln

1 matches total

FSV Mainz 05

1. FC Köln: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

FSV Mainz 05: 0 (0%)

Biggest win 1. FC Köln 1:0 (24.08 13:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 24.08 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

24.08 13:30 UTC

Bundesliga

1. FC Köln

1:0

Maynts