Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
08.02.2026 14:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

1. FC Köln - RB Leipzig

Germany Football
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln
1 : 2
Finished
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1. FC Köln - RB Leipzig February 8, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like RB Leipzig.

Line favourite market consensus: RB Leipzig. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.49 / X 3.92 / 2 1.96
  • 1X2 market: 1. FC Köln 27.3% / X 24.3% / RB Leipzig 48.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 65.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 27.2%
X 24.3%
2 48.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.6%
Over 2.5 65.6%
Under 2.5 34.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 08.02.2026 14:30 UTC
Match center

1. FC Köln - RB Leipzig

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.96 market consensus · line only
X 3.93 market consensus · line only
1 3.49 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.31 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 1.85 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.32 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.11 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.58 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.43 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.73 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.78 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.41 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.58 27.9%
X 4.05 24.7%
1.99 50.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.65 27.4% 3.30 30.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6%
X 3.95 25.3% 4.05 24.7% 4.11 24.3% 3.70 27.0% 4.00 25.0% 3.95 25.3%
1.91 52.4% 1.97 50.8% 2.01 49.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.80 35.7% 2.94 34.0% 2.77 36.1% 2.70 37.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.75 36.4% 2.80 35.7% 2.72 36.8% 2.97 33.7%
yes 1.40 71.4% 1.41 70.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.43 69.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.25 80.0%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.83 54.6%
Match center
1. FC Köln
W L W L D
30.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:0 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
25.01 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:2 FrayburgFrayburg
17.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 2:1 MayntsMaynts
14.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:3 BavariyaBavariya
10.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 2:2 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
RB Leipzig
L D W L W
31.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 1:2 MayntsMaynts
27.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 1:1 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
24.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 3:0 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
17.01 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 1:5 BavariyaBavariya
14.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 2:0 FrayburgFrayburg
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history1. FC Köln - RB Leipzig

1. FC Köln
1 matches total
RB Leipzig
1. FC Köln: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
RB Leipzig: 1 (100%)
Biggest win RB Leipzig 1:3 (20.09 16:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (1:3, 20.09 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 1

Match history

20.09 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln
1:3
RB Leipzig