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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
31.08.2025 17:30 UTC Match prediction
31.08.2025 17:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

1. FC Köln - SC Freiburg

Germany Football
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln
4 : 1
Finished
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1. FC Köln - SC Freiburg August 31, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like 1. FC Köln.

Line favourite market consensus: 1. FC Köln. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.55 / X 3.34 / 2 2.78
  • 1X2 market: 1. FC Köln 37.3% / X 28.5% / SC Freiburg 34.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 37.3%
X 28.5%
2 34.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5 50.3%
Under 2.5 49.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.08.2025 17:30 UTC
Match center

1. FC Köln - SC Freiburg

Form 1/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.78 market consensus · line only
X 3.34 market consensus · line only
1 2.55 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.52 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.44 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.54 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.22 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.74 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.73 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.91 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.93 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.15 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.66 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.62 38.2%
X 3.35 29.9%
2.88 34.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.52 39.7% 2.55 39.2% 2.64 37.9% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.57 38.9%
X 3.35 29.9% 3.35 29.9% 3.46 28.9% 3.20 31.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.35 29.9%
2.74 36.5% 2.83 35.3% 2.87 34.8% 2.70 37.0% 2.80 35.7% 2.77 36.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.10 47.6% 2.18 45.9% 2.17 46.1% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.09 47.9% 2.20 45.5%
yes 1.65 60.6% 1.69 59.2% 1.63 61.4% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.66 60.2% 1.71 58.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.50 66.7% 1.54 64.9% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.54 64.9%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8% 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.42 70.4% 1.48 67.6% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.47 68.0%
Match center
1. FC Köln
W
24.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:0 MayntsMaynts
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
SC Freiburg
L L W D W
23.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 1:3 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 1:3 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
10.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 2:1 Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
04.05 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 2:2 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
26.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 1:0 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history1. FC Köln - SC Freiburg

1. FC Köln
0 matches total
SC Freiburg
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history