Match center
Start
28.09.2025 15:30 UTC
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28.09.2025 15:30 UTC
Finished
Bundesliga
1. FC Köln - VfB Stuttgart
1
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction 1. FC Köln - VfB Stuttgart September 28, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like 1. FC Köln.
Line favourite market consensus: 1. FC Köln. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.57 / X 3.65 / 2 2.57
- 1X2 market: 1. FC Köln 37.0% / X 26.0% / VfB Stuttgart 36.9%
- Total 2.5: over probability 61.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.2%
1
37.0%
X
26.0%
2
37.0%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.8%
Over 2.5
61.8%
Under 2.5
38.3%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
1. FC Köln - VfB Stuttgart
Form
4/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.58
market consensus · line only
X
3.66
market consensus · line only
1
2.57
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.51
market consensus · line only
12
1.29
market consensus · line only
1X
1.52
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.53
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.24
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.52
market consensus · line only
2 +1
3.91
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.53
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.47
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.68
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.44
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 2.64 37.9% | |
| X | 3.72 26.9% |
| 2.63 38.0% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.58 38.8% | 2.53 39.5% | 2.64 37.9% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.55 39.2% | 2.65 37.7% | |
| X | 3.60 27.8% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.87 25.8% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.50 28.6% |
| 2.54 39.4% | 2.61 38.3% | 2.64 37.9% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.57 38.9% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.62 38.2% | 2.77 36.1% | 2.69 37.2% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.72 36.8% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.65 37.7% | 2.81 35.6% |
| yes | 1.42 70.4% | 1.45 69.0% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.47 68.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.48 67.6% | 1.54 64.9% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.54 64.9% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.29 77.5% |
| home_draw | 1.50 66.7% | 1.54 64.9% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.54 64.9% |
Match center
1. FC Köln
L
D
W
W
20.09 16:30 UTC
Bundesliga
1. FC Köln
1:3
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
13.09 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
1. FC Köln
3:3
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
31.08 17:30 UTC
Bundesliga
1. FC Köln
4:1
Frayburg
Frayburg
24.08 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
1. FC Köln
1:0
Maynts
Maynts
2
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
2.3
Scored
1.8
Conceded
7
Points
VfB Stuttgart
W
L
W
L
W
19.09 18:30 UTC
Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart
2:0
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
13.09 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart
1:3
Frayburg
Frayburg
30.08 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart
1:0
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach
23.08 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart
1:2
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
17.05 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart
3:2
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
1.6
Scored
1.4
Conceded
9
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head history1. FC Köln - VfB Stuttgart
1. FC Köln
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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