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Bundesliga Germany

30.01.2026 19:30 UTC Match prediction

30.01.2026 19:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

1. FC Köln - VfL Wolfsburg

Germany Football

1. FC Köln

1 : 0

Finished

VfL Wolfsburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1. FC Köln - VfL Wolfsburg January 30, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like 1. FC Köln.

Line favourite market consensus: 1. FC Köln. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.01 / X 3.74 / 2 3.50
1X2 market: 1. FC Köln 47.4% / X 25.4% / VfL Wolfsburg 27.2%
Total 2.5: over probability 60.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%

1 47.4%

X 25.5%

2 27.2%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.2%

Over 2.5 60.6%

Under 2.5 39.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 30.01.2026 19:30 UTC

Match center

1. FC Köln - VfL Wolfsburg

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.51 market consensus · line only

X 3.75 market consensus · line only

1 2.01 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.82 market consensus · line only

12 1.27 market consensus · line only

1X 1.31 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.86 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.44 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.34 market consensus · line only

2 +1 6.23 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.57 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.41 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.52 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.50 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.02 49.5%
X	3.87 25.8%
	3.62 27.6%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.97 50.8%	2.02 49.5%	2.05 48.8%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	2.00 50.0%
X	3.70 27.0%	3.85 26.0%	3.90 25.6%	3.50 28.6%	3.80 26.3%	3.75 26.7%
	3.45 29.0%	3.50 28.6%	3.68 27.2%	3.40 29.4%	3.50 28.6%	3.55 28.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.50 40.0%	2.61 38.3%	2.48 40.3%	2.50 40.0%	2.50 40.0%	2.50 40.0%	2.50 40.0%	2.44 41.0%	2.64 37.9%
yes	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.49 67.1%	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.49 67.1%	1.53 65.4%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.80 55.6%	1.86 53.8%	1.75 57.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.83 54.6%	1.85 54.1%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.30 76.9%	1.29 77.5%	1.25 80.0%	1.27 78.7%	1.29 77.5%
home_draw	1.30 76.9%	1.33 75.2%	1.30 76.9%	1.28 78.1%	1.32 75.8%	1.32 75.8%

Match center

1. FC Köln

L W L D L

25.01 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Köln 1:2 Frayburg

17.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Köln 2:1 Maynts

14.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Köln 1:3 Bavariya

10.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Köln 2:2 1. FC Heidenheim

20.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1. FC Köln 0:1 Union Berlin

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.8 Conceded

4 Points

VfL Wolfsburg

L D W L L

24.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 1:3 Maynts

17.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 1:1 1. FC Heidenheim

14.01 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 2:1 FC St. Pauli

11.01 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 1:8 Bavariya

20.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 3:4 Frayburg

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

1.6 Scored

3.4 Conceded

4 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head history1. FC Köln - VfL Wolfsburg

1. FC Köln

1 matches total

VfL Wolfsburg

1. FC Köln: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

VfL Wolfsburg: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 6 goals (3:3, 13.09 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 3:3 (13.09 13:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 3

3 Goals conceded 3

Match history

13.09 13:30 UTC

Bundesliga

1. FC Köln

3:3

VfL Wolfsburg