Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
03.10.2025 18:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

1899 Hoffenheim - 1. FC Köln

Germany Football
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
0 : 1
Finished
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1899 Hoffenheim - 1. FC Köln October 3, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like 1899 Hoffenheim.

Line favourite market consensus: 1899 Hoffenheim. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.91 / X 3.86 / 2 3.76
  • 1X2 market: 1899 Hoffenheim 49.9% / X 24.7% / 1. FC Köln 25.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 49.9%
X 24.7%
2 25.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.0%
Over 2.5 61.7%
Under 2.5 38.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 03.10.2025 18:30 UTC
Match center

1899 Hoffenheim - 1. FC Köln

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.77 market consensus · line only
X 3.86 market consensus · line only
1 1.91 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.91 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 1.29 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.97 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.50 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.67 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.55 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.53 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.46 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.53 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.49 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.92 52.1%
X 3.97 25.2%
3.89 25.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.99 50.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.93 51.8%
X 3.85 26.0% 3.95 25.3% 3.96 25.3% 3.70 27.0% 3.75 26.7% 3.95 25.3%
3.65 27.4% 3.80 26.3% 3.83 26.1% 3.60 27.8% 3.90 25.6% 3.95 25.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.50 40.0% 2.66 37.6% 2.50 40.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.50 40.0% 2.55 39.2% 2.63 38.0% 2.49 40.2% 2.75 36.4%
yes 1.48 67.6% 1.48 67.6% 1.48 67.6% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.47 68.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.49 67.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.93 51.8%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.30 76.9%
Match center
1899 Hoffenheim
D L W L W
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 1:1 FrayburgFrayburg
20.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 1:4 BavariyaBavariya
13.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 4:2 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
30.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 1:3 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
23.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 2:1 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
2.2 Conceded
7 Points
1. FC Köln
L L D W W
28.09 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:2 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
20.09 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:3 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
13.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 3:3 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
31.08 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 4:1 FrayburgFrayburg
24.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:0 MayntsMaynts
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points