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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
17.05.2025 13:30 UTC Match prediction
17.05.2025 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

1899 Hoffenheim - Bayern München

Germany Football
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
0 : 4
Finished
Bayern München
Bayern München

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1899 Hoffenheim - Bayern München May 17, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayern München.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayern München. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.70 / X 4.76 / 2 1.64
  • 1X2 market: 1899 Hoffenheim 20.6% / X 20.3% / Bayern München 59.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.3%
1 20.6%
X 20.3%
2 59.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 17.05.2025 13:30 UTC
Match center

1899 Hoffenheim - Bayern München

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.64 market consensus · line only
X 4.76 market consensus · line only
1 4.70 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.23 market consensus · line only
12 1.22 market consensus · line only
1X 2.39 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.70 21.3%
X 4.76 21.0%
1.64 61.0%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.23 81.3%
home_away 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 2.39 41.8%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 3.5 1.86 53.8%
Under 3.5 2.06 48.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.93 25.5%
1.28 78.1%
Match center
1899 Hoffenheim
D D L L W
09.05 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 2:2 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
03.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 4:4 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
26.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 2:3 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
19.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 2:3 FrayburgFrayburg
12.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 2:0 MayntsMaynts
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
2.4 Scored
2.4 Conceded
5 Points
Bayern München
W D W W D
10.05 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 2:0 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
03.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 3:3 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
26.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 3:0 MayntsMaynts
19.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 4:0 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
12.04 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 2:2 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
11 Points