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Bundesliga Germany

20.09.2025 13:30 UTC Match prediction

20.09.2025 13:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim - Bayern München

Germany Football

1899 Hoffenheim

1 : 4

Finished

Bayern München

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1899 Hoffenheim - Bayern München September 20, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayern München.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayern München. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 8.03 / X 6.23 / 2 1.32
1X2 market: 1899 Hoffenheim 11.9% / X 15.4% / Bayern München 72.7%
Total 2.5: over probability 74.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.3%

1 11.9%

X 15.4%

2 72.7%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.2%

Over 2.5 74.1%

Under 2.5 25.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 20.09.2025 13:30 UTC

Match center

1899 Hoffenheim - Bayern München

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.32 market consensus · line only

X 6.25 market consensus · line only

1 8.05 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.10 market consensus · line only

12 1.14 market consensus · line only

1X 3.53 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 1.32 market consensus · line only

2 +1 1.42 market consensus · line only

1 +0.5 3.57 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.27 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 3.64 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.64 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.46 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	8.14 12.3%
X	6.39 15.7%
	1.31 76.3%

Match Winner

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
	8.00 12.5%	8.30 12.1%	8.10 12.4%	8.14 12.3%	8.14 12.3%	7.50 13.3%
X	6.40 15.6%	6.42 15.6%	6.25 16.0%	6.39 15.7%	6.39 15.7%	5.50 18.2%
	1.31 76.3%	1.35 74.1%	1.32 75.8%	1.31 76.3%	1.31 76.3%	1.30 76.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	William Hill
no	2.71 36.9%	2.56 39.1%	2.52 39.7%	2.81 35.6%	2.62 38.2%
yes	1.47 68.0%	1.46 68.5%	1.46 68.5%	1.46 68.5%	1.44 69.4%

Double chance

Outcome	1xBet	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
draw_away	1.09 91.7%	1.09 91.7%	1.10 90.9%	1.10 90.9%	1.10 90.9%
home_away	1.15 87.0%	1.14 87.7%	1.14 87.7%	1.14 87.7%	1.15 87.0%
home_draw	3.48 28.7%	3.55 28.2%	3.66 27.3%	3.66 27.3%	3.30 30.3%

Match center

1899 Hoffenheim

W L W L D

13.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 4:2 Union Berlin

30.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 1:3 Eintracht Frankfurt

23.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 2:1 Bayer Leverkusen

17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 0:4 Bavariya

09.05 18:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 2:2 VfL Wolfsburg

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.8 Scored

2.4 Conceded

7 Points

Bayern München

W W W W W

13.09 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 5:0 Hamburger SV

30.08 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 3:2 FC Augsburg

22.08 18:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 6:0 RB Leipzig

17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 4:0 1899 Hoffenheim

10.05 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 2:0 Borussia Mönchengladbach

5 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

4.0 Scored

0.4 Conceded

15 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head history1899 Hoffenheim - Bayern München

1899 Hoffenheim

1 matches total

Bayern München

1899 Hoffenheim: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Bayern München: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Bavariya 0:4 (17.05 13:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (0:4, 17.05 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 4

4 Goals conceded 0

Match history

17.05 13:30 UTC

Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim

0:4

Bavariya