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Bundesliga Germany

14.02.2026 14:30 UTC Match prediction

14.02.2026 14:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim - SC Freiburg

Germany Football

1899 Hoffenheim

3 : 0

Finished

SC Freiburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1899 Hoffenheim - SC Freiburg February 14, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like 1899 Hoffenheim.

Line favourite market consensus: 1899 Hoffenheim. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.73 / X 3.95 / 2 4.56
1X2 market: 1899 Hoffenheim 55.0% / X 24.1% / SC Freiburg 20.9%
Total 2.5: over probability 55.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%

1 55.0%

X 24.1%

2 20.9%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%

Over 2.5 55.4%

Under 2.5 44.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 14.02.2026 14:30 UTC

Match center

1899 Hoffenheim - SC Freiburg

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.57 market consensus · line only

X 3.96 market consensus · line only

1 1.73 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.11 market consensus · line only

12 1.25 market consensus · line only

1X 1.20 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.15 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.66 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 4.20 market consensus · line only

2 +1 8.60 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.72 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.14 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.13 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.68 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.75 57.1%
X	4.04 24.8%
	4.71 21.2%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.71 58.5%	1.72 58.1%	1.77 56.5%	1.73 57.8%	1.73 57.8%	1.75 57.1%
X	3.80 26.3%	4.05 24.7%	4.16 24.0%	3.75 26.7%	4.00 25.0%	4.05 24.7%
	4.55 22.0%	4.70 21.3%	4.78 20.9%	4.20 23.8%	4.33 23.1%	4.75 21.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.15 46.5%	2.15 46.5%	2.10 47.6%	2.10 47.6%	2.05 48.8%	2.10 47.6%	2.15 46.5%	2.07 48.3%	2.18 45.9%
yes	1.67 59.9%	1.71 58.5%	1.67 59.9%	1.67 59.9%	1.70 58.8%	1.67 59.9%	1.67 59.9%	1.67 59.9%	1.74 57.5%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	2.05 48.8%	2.17 46.1%	2.05 48.8%	2.05 48.8%	2.15 46.5%	2.00 50.0%
home_away	1.20 83.3%	1.27 78.7%	1.25 80.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.24 80.7%	1.22 82.0%
home_draw	1.18 84.8%	1.23 81.3%	1.20 83.3%	1.20 83.3%	1.22 82.0%	1.17 85.5%

Match center

1899 Hoffenheim

L W W W W

08.02 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 1:5 Bavariya

31.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 3:1 Union Berlin

27.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 2:0 Werder Bremen

24.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 3:1 Eintracht Frankfurt

17.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 1:0 Bayer Leverkusen

4 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

2.0 Scored

1.4 Conceded

12 Points

SC Freiburg

W L W D L

07.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

SC Freiburg 1:0 Werder Bremen

01.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

SC Freiburg 0:1 VfB Stuttgart

25.01 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

SC Freiburg 2:1 1. FC Köln

18.01 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

SC Freiburg 2:2 FC Augsburg

14.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga

SC Freiburg 0:2 RB Leipzig

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.2 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head history1899 Hoffenheim - SC Freiburg

1899 Hoffenheim

2 matches total

SC Freiburg

1899 Hoffenheim: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (50%)

SC Freiburg: 1 (50%)

Biggest win Frayburg 2:3 (19.04 13:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (2:3, 19.04 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (28.09 13:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 4

4 Goals conceded 3

Match history

28.09 13:30 UTC

Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim

1:1

Frayburg

19.04 13:30 UTC

Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim

2:3

Frayburg