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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
26.10.2025 14:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Bayer Leverkusen - SC Freiburg

Germany Football
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0
Finished
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg

Bayer Leverkusen take on SC Freiburg on October 26, 2025 in the Bundesliga, Germany.

Recent form (W-D-L): Bayer Leverkusen 4-1-0, SC Freiburg 2-3-0. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The market favourite is Bayer Leverkusen at roughly 50%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bayer Leverkusen - SC Freiburg October 26, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayer Leverkusen.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayer Leverkusen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.91 / X 3.72 / 2 3.93
  • 1X2 market: Bayer Leverkusen 50.0% / X 25.7% / SC Freiburg 24.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.0% 15 books · best price +2.1%
1 49.8%
X 25.7%
2 24.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 53.8%
Under 2.5 46.2%

Odds source: consensus of 15 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 26.10.2025 14:30 UTC
Market 1 50.0% @ 1.91 / X 25.7% @ 3.72 / 2 24.3% @ 3.93
Match center

Bayer Leverkusen - SC Freiburg

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.94 market consensus · line only
X 3.73 market consensus · line only
1 1.92 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.91 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.26 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.94 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.50 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.70 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.10 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.07 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.15 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.67 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.95 51.3%
X 3.79 26.4%
3.94 25.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.87 53.5% 1.96 51.0% 1.96 51.0% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3%
X 3.65 27.4% 3.75 26.7% 3.88 25.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3% 3.80 26.3%
4.00 25.0% 3.80 26.3% 4.04 24.8% 3.80 26.3% 3.90 25.6% 4.00 25.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.10 47.6% 2.20 45.5% 2.12 47.2% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.12 47.2% 2.25 44.4% 2.09 47.9% 2.26 44.3%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.68 59.5% 1.66 60.2% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.60 62.5% 1.66 60.2% 1.69 59.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.91 52.4% 1.94 51.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1%
Match center
Bayer Leverkusen
W W W D W
18.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 4:3 MayntsMaynts
04.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 2:0 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
27.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 2:1 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
21.09 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 1:1 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
12.09 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 3:1 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
13 Points
SC Freiburg
D D D W W
19.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 2:2 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
05.10 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 0:0 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 1:1 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
20.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 3:0 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
13.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 3:1 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBayer Leverkusen - SC Freiburg

Bayer Leverkusen
1 matches total
SC Freiburg
Bayer Leverkusen: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
SC Freiburg: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 04.05 15:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (04.05 15:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 2

Match history

04.05 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
2:2
Frayburg