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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
12.04.2025 13:30 UTC Match prediction
12.04.2025 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin

Germany Football
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
0 : 0
Finished
Union Berlin
Union Berlin

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin April 12, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayer Leverkusen.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayer Leverkusen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.34 / X 5.52 / 2 8.97
  • 1X2 market: Bayer Leverkusen 71.8% / X 17.4% / Union Berlin 10.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.9%
1 71.8%
X 17.4%
2 10.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.7%
Over 2.5 59.1%
Under 2.5 40.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 12.04.2025 13:30 UTC
Match center

Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.97 market consensus · line only
X 5.52 market consensus · line only
1 1.34 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.48 market consensus · line only
12 1.18 market consensus · line only
1X 1.09 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.36 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.34 74.6%
X 5.52 18.1%
8.97 11.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.48 28.7%
home_away 1.18 84.8%
home_draw 1.09 91.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.63 61.4%
Under 2.5 2.36 42.4%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.11 90.1%
7.35 13.6%
Match center
Bayer Leverkusen
W D W D D
05.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 1:0 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
26.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 2:2 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
19.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 2:1 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
05.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 2:2 Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
28.09 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 1:1 BavariyaBavariya
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
9 Points
Union Berlin
W D W W L
06.04 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 1:0 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
27.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 1:1 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
20.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 2:0 Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
05.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 2:1 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 0:1 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.6 Conceded
10 Points