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Bundesliga Germany

24.01.2026 14:30 UTC Match prediction

24.01.2026 14:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen - Werder Bremen

Germany Football

Bayer Leverkusen

1 : 0

Finished

Werder Bremen

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bayer Leverkusen - Werder Bremen January 24, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayer Leverkusen.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayer Leverkusen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.57 / X 4.42 / 2 5.41
1X2 market: Bayer Leverkusen 60.8% / X 21.6% / Werder Bremen 17.6%
Total 2.5: over probability 63.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%

1 60.8%

X 21.6%

2 17.6%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.6%

Over 2.5 63.8%

Under 2.5 36.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 24.01.2026 14:30 UTC

Match center

Bayer Leverkusen - Werder Bremen

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.43 market consensus · line only

X 4.42 market consensus · line only

1 1.57 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.43 market consensus · line only

12 1.22 market consensus · line only

1X 1.16 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.42 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.95 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 4.87 market consensus · line only

2 +1 9.00 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.47 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.59 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.37 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.55 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.57 63.7%
X	4.52 22.1%
	5.66 17.7%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.55 64.5%	1.57 63.7%	1.61 62.1%	1.53 65.4%	1.55 64.5%	1.65 60.6%
X	4.33 23.1%	4.55 22.0%	4.68 21.4%	4.20 23.8%	4.33 23.1%	4.30 23.3%
	5.10 19.6%	5.40 18.5%	5.59 17.9%	5.00 20.0%	5.75 17.4%	5.50 18.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.38 42.0%	2.43 41.2%	2.32 43.1%	2.38 42.0%	2.25 44.4%	2.40 41.7%	2.38 42.0%	2.29 43.7%	2.43 41.2%
yes	1.53 65.4%	1.57 63.7%	1.55 64.5%	1.53 65.4%	1.57 63.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.53 65.4%	1.55 64.5%	1.61 62.1%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	2.38 42.0%	2.48 40.3%	2.38 42.0%	2.30 43.5%	2.40 41.7%	2.52 39.7%
home_away	1.17 85.5%	1.23 81.3%	1.22 82.0%	1.20 83.3%	1.22 82.0%	1.23 81.3%
home_draw	1.15 87.0%	1.18 84.8%	1.17 85.5%	1.14 87.7%	1.18 84.8%	1.18 84.8%

Match center

Bayer Leverkusen

L L W W L

17.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 0:1 1899 Hoffenheim

10.01 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 1:4 VfB Stuttgart

20.12 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 3:1 RB Leipzig

13.12 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 2:0 1. FC Köln

06.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 0:2 FC Augsburg

2 Wins

0 Draws

3 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.6 Conceded

6 Points

Werder Bremen

D L D L L

16.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga

Werder Bremen 3:3 Eintracht Frankfurt

13.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga

Werder Bremen 0:3 Borussia Dortmund

20.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Werder Bremen 0:0 FC Augsburg

14.12 18:30 UTC Bundesliga

Werder Bremen 0:4 VfB Stuttgart

07.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Werder Bremen 2:3 Hamburger SV

0 Wins

2 Draws

3 Losses

1.0 Scored

2.6 Conceded

2 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBayer Leverkusen - Werder Bremen

Bayer Leverkusen

2 matches total

Werder Bremen

Bayer Leverkusen: 0 (0%)

Draws:2 (100%)

Werder Bremen: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 6 goals (3:3, 30.08 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 3:3 (30.08 13:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

5 Goals scored 5

5 Goals conceded 5

Match history

30.08 13:30 UTC

Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen

3:3

Werder Bremen

26.10 16:30 UTC

Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen

2:2

Werder Bremen