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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
08.02.2026 16:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Bayern München - 1899 Hoffenheim

Germany Football
Bayern München
Bayern München
5 : 1
Finished
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bayern München - 1899 Hoffenheim February 8, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayern München.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayern München. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.24 / X 6.95 / 2 9.85
  • 1X2 market: Bayern München 76.5% / X 13.8% / 1899 Hoffenheim 9.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 76.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 76.7%
X 13.7%
2 9.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.8%
Over 2.5 76.1%
Under 2.5 23.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 08.02.2026 16:30 UTC
Match center

Bayern München - 1899 Hoffenheim

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 6.99 market consensus · line only
1 1.24 market consensus · line only
2 9.34 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 4.02 market consensus · line only
12 1.11 market consensus · line only
1X 1.06 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.87 market consensus · line only
2 -1 3.27 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 7.17 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.24 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.23 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 3.92 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.42 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.53 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.25 80.0%
X 7.50 13.3%
10.75 9.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4%
X 7.00 14.3% 7.00 14.3% 7.31 13.7% 6.00 16.7% 7.00 14.3% 7.20 13.9%
9.50 10.5% 10.00 10.0% 10.90 9.2% 9.00 11.1% 8.50 11.8% 10.75 9.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.35 42.6% 2.48 40.3% 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.25 44.4% 2.39 41.8% 2.60 38.5%
yes 1.55 64.5% 1.55 64.5% 1.52 65.8% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.51 66.2% 1.53 65.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 4.00 25.0% 4.18 23.9% 3.75 26.7% 3.50 28.6% 4.10 24.4% 4.00 25.0%
home_away 1.10 90.9% 1.12 89.3% 1.13 88.5% 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1% 1.08 92.6%
home_draw 1.05 95.2% 1.06 94.3% 1.06 94.3% 1.08 92.6% 1.08 92.6% 1.05 95.2%
Match center
Bayern München
D L W W W
31.01 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 2:2 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
24.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 1:2 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
17.01 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 5:1 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
14.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 3:1 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
11.01 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 8:1 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
3.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
10 Points
1899 Hoffenheim
W W W W W
31.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 3:1 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
27.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 2:0 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
24.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 3:1 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
17.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 1:0 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
14.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 5:1 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
5 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.8 Scored
0.6 Conceded
15 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBayern München - 1899 Hoffenheim

Bayern München
2 matches total
1899 Hoffenheim
Bayern München: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
1899 Hoffenheim: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Bavariya 4:0 (17.05 13:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (4:1, 20.09 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

20.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bavariya
4:1
1899 Hoffenheim
17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bavariya
4:0
1899 Hoffenheim