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Bundesliga Germany

24.01.2026 14:30 UTC Match prediction

24.01.2026 14:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

Bayern München - FC Augsburg

Germany Football

Bayern München

1 : 2

Finished

FC Augsburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bayern München - FC Augsburg January 24, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayern München.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayern München. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.10 / X 11.33 / 2 21.33
1X2 market: Bayern München 87.0% / X 8.5% / FC Augsburg 4.6%
Total 2.5: over probability 79.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.4%

1 87.1%

X 8.5%

2 4.5%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.4%

Over 2.5 79.0%

Under 2.5 21.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 24.01.2026 14:30 UTC

Match center

Bayern München - FC Augsburg

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

1 1.10 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 7.60 market consensus · line only

12 1.05 market consensus · line only

1X 1.02 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 6.85 market consensus · line only

2 -1 5.62 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.08 market consensus · line only

1 -1 1.11 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.19 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 4.47 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.87 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.88 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.10 90.9%
X	11.83 8.5%
	22.85 4.4%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.08 92.6%	1.11 90.1%	1.11 90.1%	1.10 90.9%	1.10 90.9%	1.13 88.5%
X	10.50 9.5%	11.00 9.1%	13.10 7.6%	11.00 9.1%	12.00 8.3%	10.25 9.8%
	19.00 5.3%	21.00 4.8%	25.00 4.0%	19.00 5.3%	17.00 5.9%	24.00 4.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.85 54.1%	1.88 53.2%	1.88 53.2%	1.85 54.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.88 53.2%	2.00 50.0%	1.86 53.8%	1.91 52.4%
yes	1.90 52.6%	1.93 51.8%	1.84 54.4%	1.85 54.1%	1.95 51.3%	1.85 54.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.84 54.4%	1.92 52.1%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	7.50 13.3%	7.90 12.7%	7.00 14.3%	8.00 12.5%	7.30 13.7%	7.80 12.8%
home_away	1.04 96.2%	1.05 95.2%	1.05 95.2%	1.05 95.2%	1.06 94.3%	1.05 95.2%
home_draw	1.01 99.0%	1.01 99.0%	1.02 98.0%	1.02 98.0%	1.02 98.0%	1.00 100.0%

Match center

Bayern München

W W W W D

17.01 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 5:1 RB Leipzig

14.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 3:1 1. FC Köln

11.01 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 8:1 VfL Wolfsburg

21.12 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 4:0 1. FC Heidenheim

14.12 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 2:2 Maynts

4 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

4.4 Scored

1.0 Conceded

13 Points

FC Augsburg

D D L D L

18.01 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC Augsburg 2:2 Frayburg

15.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC Augsburg 1:1 Union Berlin

11.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC Augsburg 0:4 Borussia Mönchengladbach

20.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC Augsburg 0:0 Werder Bremen

13.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC Augsburg 0:1 Eintracht Frankfurt

0 Wins

3 Draws

2 Losses

0.6 Scored

1.6 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBayern München - FC Augsburg

Bayern München

2 matches total

FC Augsburg

Bayern München: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

FC Augsburg: 2 (100%)

Biggest win Bavariya 3:1 (04.04 18:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (3:2, 30.08 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

30.08 16:30 UTC

Bundesliga

Bavariya

3:2

FC Augsburg

04.04 18:30 UTC

Bundesliga

Bavariya

3:1

FC Augsburg