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Bundesliga Germany

22.08.2025 18:30 UTC Match prediction

22.08.2025 18:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

Bayern München - RB Leipzig

Germany Football

Bayern München

6 : 0

Finished

RB Leipzig

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bayern München - RB Leipzig August 22, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayern München.

Line favourite Fonbet: Bayern München. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.26 / X 7.20 / 2 10.50
1X2 market: Bayern München 77.2% / X 13.5% / RB Leipzig 9.3%
Total 2.5: over probability 76.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%

1 77.2%

X 13.5%

2 9.3%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%

Over 2.5 76.2%

Under 2.5 23.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 22.08.2025 18:30 UTC

Match center

Bayern München - RB Leipzig

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

X 7.20 Fonbet · line only

1 1.26 Fonbet · line only

2 9.56 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 3.80 Fonbet · line only

12 1.10 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.05 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 4.25 market consensus · line only

2 -1 3.40 Fonbet · line only

1 -0.5 1.21 market consensus · line only

1 -1 1.32 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 4.00 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.40 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.57 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.24 80.7%
X	7.30 13.7%
	10.48 9.5%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.23 81.3%	1.24 80.7%	1.26 79.4%	1.22 82.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.27 78.7%
X	6.80 14.7%	7.00 14.3%	7.43 13.5%	6.50 15.4%	7.00 14.3%	7.20 13.9%
	9.75 10.3%	10.50 9.5%	11.10 9.0%	9.50 10.5%	11.00 9.1%	10.25 9.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Betway	Bwin
no	2.40 41.7%	2.54 39.4%	2.40 41.7%	2.38 42.0%	2.38 42.0%	2.40 41.7%	2.15 46.5%	2.40 41.7%	2.30 43.5%
yes	1.50 66.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.52 65.8%	1.53 65.4%	1.53 65.4%	1.53 65.4%	1.67 59.9%	1.55 64.5%	1.55 64.5%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betway
draw_away	4.00 25.0%	4.26 23.5%	4.00 25.0%	4.00 25.0%	4.10 24.4%	4.00 25.0%
home_away	1.10 90.9%	1.12 89.3%	1.11 90.1%	1.10 90.9%	1.11 90.1%	1.10 90.9%
home_draw	1.05 95.2%	1.06 94.3%	1.06 94.3%	1.05 95.2%	1.08 92.6%	1.06 94.3%

Match center

Bayern München

W W D W W

17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 4:0 1899 Hoffenheim

10.05 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 2:0 Borussia Mönchengladbach

03.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 3:3 RB Leipzig

26.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 3:0 Maynts

19.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 4:0 1. FC Heidenheim

4 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

3.2 Scored

0.6 Conceded

13 Points

RB Leipzig

L D D L D

17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

RB Leipzig 2:3 VfB Stuttgart

10.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

RB Leipzig 0:0 Werder Bremen

03.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

RB Leipzig 3:3 Bavariya

26.04 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

RB Leipzig 0:4 Eintracht Frankfurt

19.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

RB Leipzig 1:1 Holstein Kiel

0 Wins

3 Draws

2 Losses

1.2 Scored

2.2 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBayern München - RB Leipzig

Bayern München

1 matches total

RB Leipzig

Bayern München: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

RB Leipzig: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 6 goals (3:3, 03.05 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 3:3 (03.05 13:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

03.05 13:30 UTC

Bundesliga

Bavariya

3:3

RB Leipzig