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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
25.10.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Borussia Dortmund - 1. FC Köln

Germany Football
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
1 : 0
Finished
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln

Borussia Dortmund face 1. FC Köln on October 25, 2025 in the Bundesliga, Germany.

Recent form (W-D-L): Borussia Dortmund 3-1-1, 1. FC Köln 1-2-2. Sportsbooks lean towards Borussia Dortmund, an implied 69% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Borussia Dortmund - 1. FC Köln October 25, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Borussia Dortmund.

Line favourite market consensus: Borussia Dortmund. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.38 / X 5.20 / 2 7.43
  • 1X2 market: Borussia Dortmund 68.9% / X 18.3% / 1. FC Köln 12.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 64.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 68.9%
X 18.3%
2 12.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.9%
Over 2.5 64.2%
Under 2.5 35.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.10.2025 16:30 UTC
Market 1 68.9% @ 1.38 / X 18.3% @ 5.20 / 2 12.8% @ 7.43
Match center

Borussia Dortmund - 1. FC Köln

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.45 market consensus · line only
X 5.21 market consensus · line only
1 1.38 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.08 market consensus · line only
12 1.17 market consensus · line only
1X 1.10 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.92 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.46 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.23 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.42 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.47 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.64 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.10 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.70 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.39 71.9%
X 5.38 18.6%
7.80 12.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.35 74.1% 1.39 71.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4%
X 5.10 19.6% 5.40 18.5% 5.38 18.6% 5.00 20.0% 5.25 19.1% 5.40 18.5%
8.20 12.2% 7.20 13.9% 7.69 13.0% 7.00 14.3% 7.50 13.3% 8.00 12.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.05 48.8% 2.11 47.4% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.03 49.3% 2.17 46.1%
yes 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.74 57.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 3.10 32.3% 3.09 32.4% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.12 32.1%
home_away 1.12 89.3% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.16 86.2% 1.18 84.8%
home_draw 1.07 93.5% 1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9% 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1%
Match center
Borussia Dortmund
L D W W W
18.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 1:2 BavariyaBavariya
04.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 1:1 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
27.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 2:0 MayntsMaynts
21.09 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 1:0 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
13.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 2:0 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.6 Conceded
10 Points
1. FC Köln
D W L L D
18.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:1 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
03.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:0 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
28.09 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:2 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
20.09 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:3 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
13.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 3:3 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.8 Conceded
5 Points