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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
20.04.2025 15:30 UTC Match prediction
20.04.2025 15:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Borussia Dortmund - Borussia Monchengladbach

Germany Football
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
3 : 2
Finished
Borussia Monchengladbach
Borussia Monchengladbach

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Borussia Dortmund - Borussia Monchengladbach April 20, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Borussia Dortmund.

Line favourite market consensus: Borussia Dortmund. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.36 / X 5.96 / 2 7.77
  • 1X2 market: Borussia Dortmund 71.3% / X 16.3% / Borussia Monchengladbach 12.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.2%
1 71.3%
X 16.3%
2 12.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.04.2025 15:30 UTC
Match center

Borussia Dortmund - Borussia Monchengladbach

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.77 market consensus · line only
X 5.96 market consensus · line only
1 1.36 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.42 market consensus · line only
12 1.16 market consensus · line only
1X 1.12 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.36 73.5%
X 5.96 16.8%
7.77 12.9%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.42 29.2%
home_away 1.16 86.2%
home_draw 1.12 89.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 3.5 1.77 56.5%
Under 3.5 2.13 47.0%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.14 87.7%
6.41 15.6%
Match center
Borussia Dortmund
D W L W L
12.04 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 2:2 BavariyaBavariya
05.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 4:1 FrayburgFrayburg
26.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 1:2 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
18.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 2:1 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
05.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 1:2 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Borussia Monchengladbach
L D D W L
12.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 1:2 FrayburgFrayburg
06.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 1:1 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
25.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 1:1 MayntsMaynts
19.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 3:2 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
04.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 1:2 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
5 Points