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Bundesliga Germany

19.12.2025 19:30 UTC Match prediction

19.12.2025 19:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund - Borussia Monchengladbach

Germany Football

Borussia Dortmund

2 : 0

Finished

Borussia Monchengladbach

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Borussia Dortmund - Borussia Monchengladbach December 19, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Borussia Dortmund.

Line favourite market consensus: Borussia Dortmund. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.51 / X 4.59 / 2 5.71
1X2 market: Borussia Dortmund 62.7% / X 20.7% / Borussia Monchengladbach 16.7%
Total 2.5: over probability 65.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%

1 62.8%

X 20.6%

2 16.6%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.1%

Over 2.5 65.0%

Under 2.5 35.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 19.12.2025 19:30 UTC

Match center

Borussia Dortmund - Borussia Monchengladbach

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.74 market consensus · line only

X 4.61 market consensus · line only

1 1.51 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.54 market consensus · line only

12 1.20 market consensus · line only

1X 1.15 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.56 market consensus · line only

2 -1 2.07 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 5.02 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.50 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.45 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.69 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.36 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.56 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.51 66.2%
X	4.80 20.8%
	6.10 16.4%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.48 67.6%	1.51 66.2%	1.58 63.3%	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.55 64.5%
X	4.50 22.2%	4.80 20.8%	4.78 20.9%	4.20 23.8%	4.50 22.2%	4.75 21.1%
	6.20 16.1%	5.80 17.2%	5.84 17.1%	5.00 20.0%	5.75 17.4%	5.90 17.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.35 42.6%	2.44 41.0%	2.28 43.9%	2.40 41.7%	2.38 42.0%	2.35 42.6%	2.38 42.0%	2.25 44.4%	2.45 40.8%
yes	1.55 64.5%	1.56 64.1%	1.57 63.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.53 65.4%	1.55 64.5%	1.53 65.4%	1.57 63.7%	1.60 62.5%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	2.55 39.2%	2.56 39.1%	2.45 40.8%	2.38 42.0%	2.57 38.9%	2.56 39.1%
home_away	1.15 87.0%	1.23 81.3%	1.20 83.3%	1.18 84.8%	1.20 83.3%	1.21 82.6%
home_draw	1.11 90.1%	1.17 85.5%	1.14 87.7%	1.14 87.7%	1.16 86.2%	1.16 86.2%