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Bundesliga Germany

13.02.2026 19:30 UTC Match prediction

13.02.2026 19:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund - FSV Mainz 05

Germany Football

Borussia Dortmund

4 : 0

Finished

FSV Mainz 05

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Borussia Dortmund - FSV Mainz 05 February 13, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Borussia Dortmund.

Line favourite market consensus: Borussia Dortmund. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.63 / X 4.19 / 2 5.07
1X2 market: Borussia Dortmund 58.5% / X 22.7% / FSV Mainz 05 18.8%
Total 2.5: over probability 59.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%

1 58.5%

X 22.7%

2 18.8%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%

Over 2.5 59.1%

Under 2.5 40.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 13.02.2026 19:30 UTC

Match center

Borussia Dortmund - FSV Mainz 05

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.08 market consensus · line only

X 4.20 market consensus · line only

1 1.63 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.31 market consensus · line only

12 1.23 market consensus · line only

1X 1.17 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.34 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.83 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 4.80 market consensus · line only

2 +1 9.00 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.61 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.33 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.20 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.64 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.63 61.4%
X	4.35 23.0%
	5.21 19.2%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.60 62.5%	1.62 61.7%	1.67 59.9%	1.62 61.7%	1.65 60.6%	1.67 59.9%
X	3.95 25.3%	4.30 23.3%	4.46 22.4%	4.00 25.0%	4.20 23.8%	4.30 23.3%
	5.20 19.2%	5.20 19.2%	5.23 19.1%	4.75 21.1%	4.75 21.1%	5.10 19.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.15 46.5%	2.27 44.1%	2.18 45.9%	2.15 46.5%	2.20 45.5%	2.15 46.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.16 46.3%	2.28 43.9%
yes	1.65 60.6%	1.64 61.0%	1.62 61.7%	1.65 60.6%	1.62 61.7%	1.65 60.6%	1.60 62.5%	1.62 61.7%	1.68 59.5%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	2.30 43.5%	2.35 42.6%	2.30 43.5%	2.20 45.5%	2.27 44.1%	2.25 44.4%
home_away	1.18 84.8%	1.25 80.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.23 81.3%	1.20 83.3%
home_draw	1.17 85.5%	1.20 83.3%	1.17 85.5%	1.18 84.8%	1.20 83.3%	1.13 88.5%

Match center

Borussia Dortmund

W W W W W

07.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund 2:1 VfL Wolfsburg

01.02 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund 3:2 1. FC Heidenheim

24.01 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund 3:0 Union Berlin

17.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund 3:2 FC St. Pauli

13.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund 3:0 Werder Bremen

5 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

2.8 Scored

1.0 Conceded

15 Points

FSV Mainz 05

W W W L W

07.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 2:0 FC Augsburg

31.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 2:1 RB Leipzig

24.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 3:1 VfL Wolfsburg

17.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 1:2 1. FC Köln

13.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 2:1 1. FC Heidenheim

4 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

2.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

12 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBorussia Dortmund - FSV Mainz 05

Borussia Dortmund

1 matches total

FSV Mainz 05

Borussia Dortmund: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

FSV Mainz 05: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Borussia Dortmund 2:0 (27.09 13:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (2:0, 27.09 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 2

Match history

27.09 13:30 UTC

Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

2:0

Maynts