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Start
04.10.2025 13:30 UTC
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04.10.2025 13:30 UTC
Finished
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig
1
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig October 4, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Borussia Dortmund.
Line favourite market consensus: Borussia Dortmund. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.68 / X 4.63 / 2 4.25
- 1X2 market: Borussia Dortmund 56.9% / X 20.6% / RB Leipzig 22.5%
- Total 2.5: over probability 72.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.7%
1
56.9%
X
20.6%
2
22.5%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.1%
Over 2.5
71.9%
Under 2.5
28.1%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.25
market consensus · line only
X
4.64
market consensus · line only
1
1.68
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.22
market consensus · line only
12
1.20
market consensus · line only
1X
1.23
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.24
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.78
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
3.90
market consensus · line only
2 +1
7.10
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.31
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
3.36
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
3.05
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.35
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 1.69 59.2% | |
| X | 4.73 21.1% |
| 4.33 23.1% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.67 59.9% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.71 58.5% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.70 58.8% | |
| X | 4.50 22.2% | 4.70 21.3% | 4.79 20.9% | 4.40 22.7% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.80 20.8% |
| 4.20 23.8% | 4.25 23.5% | 4.49 22.3% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.40 22.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 3.00 33.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.04 32.9% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 2.95 33.9% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.04 32.9% | 3.23 31.0% |
| yes | 1.33 75.2% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.37 73.0% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.38 72.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.15 46.5% | 2.26 44.3% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.27 44.1% |
| home_away | 1.15 87.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.22 82.0% |
| home_draw | 1.22 82.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.24 80.7% |
Match center
Borussia Dortmund
W
W
W
W
D
27.09 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
2:0
Maynts
Maynts
21.09 17:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
1:0
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
13.09 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
2:0
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
31.08 15:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
3:0
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
23.08 16:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
3:3
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
4
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
2.2
Scored
0.6
Conceded
13
Points
RB Leipzig
W
W
W
W
L
27.09 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
1:0
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
20.09 16:30 UTC
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
3:1
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln
13.09 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
1:0
Maynts
Maynts
30.08 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
2:0
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
22.08 18:30 UTC
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
0:6
Bavariya
Bavariya
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.4
Scored
1.4
Conceded
12
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyBorussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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