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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
03.05.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Borussia Dortmund - VfL Wolfsburg

Germany Football
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
4 : 0
Finished
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg

Borussia Dortmund go head-to-head with VfL Wolfsburg on May 3, 2025 in the Bundesliga, Germany.

Recent form (W-D-L): Borussia Dortmund 3-1-1, VfL Wolfsburg 0-2-3. Sportsbooks lean towards Borussia Dortmund, an implied 75% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Borussia Dortmund - VfL Wolfsburg May 3, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Borussia Dortmund.

Line favourite market consensus: Borussia Dortmund. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.29 / X 6.42 / 2 9.36
  • 1X2 market: Borussia Dortmund 74.7% / X 15.0% / VfL Wolfsburg 10.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.8%
1 74.7%
X 15.0%
2 10.3%

Odds source: SStats Consensus line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.05.2025 16:30 UTC
Market 1 74.7% @ 1.29 / X 15.0% @ 6.42 / 2 10.3% @ 9.36
Match center

Borussia Dortmund - VfL Wolfsburg

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.36 market consensus · line only
X 6.42 market consensus · line only
1 1.29 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.88 market consensus · line only
12 1.14 market consensus · line only
1X 1.09 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.29 77.5%
X 6.42 15.6%
9.36 10.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.88 25.8%
home_away 1.14 87.7%
home_draw 1.09 91.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 3.5 1.93 51.8%
Under 3.5 1.95 51.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.10 90.9%
7.91 12.6%
Match center
Borussia Dortmund
W W D W L
26.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 3:2 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
20.04 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 3:2 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
12.04 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 2:2 BavariyaBavariya
05.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 4:1 FrayburgFrayburg
26.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 1:2 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.6 Scored
1.8 Conceded
10 Points
VfL Wolfsburg
L D L L D
26.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 0:1 FrayburgFrayburg
19.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 2:2 MayntsMaynts
11.04 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 2:3 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
06.04 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 0:1 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
26.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 0:0 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
2 Points