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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
12.04.2025 13:30 UTC Match prediction
12.04.2025 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Borussia Monchengladbach - SC Freiburg

Germany Football
Borussia Monchengladbach
Borussia Monchengladbach
1 : 2
Finished
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Borussia Monchengladbach - SC Freiburg April 12, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Borussia Monchengladbach.

Line favourite market consensus: Borussia Monchengladbach. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.14 / X 3.67 / 2 3.41
  • 1X2 market: Borussia Monchengladbach 45.2% / X 26.4% / SC Freiburg 28.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.3%
1 45.2%
X 26.4%
2 28.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.4%
Over 2.5 57.9%
Under 2.5 42.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 12.04.2025 13:30 UTC
Match center

Borussia Monchengladbach - SC Freiburg

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.41 market consensus · line only
X 3.67 market consensus · line only
1 2.14 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.76 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.35 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.30 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.14 46.7%
X 3.67 27.3%
3.41 29.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.76 56.8%
home_away 1.31 76.3%
home_draw 1.35 74.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.67 59.9%
Under 2.5 2.30 43.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.56 64.1%
2.51 39.8%
Match center
Borussia Monchengladbach
D D W L W
06.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 1:1 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
25.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 1:1 MayntsMaynts
19.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 3:2 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
04.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 1:2 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 1:0 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
8 Points
SC Freiburg
L L W W L
05.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 1:4 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
26.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 1:3 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
19.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 3:1 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
05.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 1:0 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 0:3 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.2 Conceded
6 Points