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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
05.10.2025 17:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Borussia Monchengladbach - SC Freiburg

Germany Football
Borussia Monchengladbach
Borussia Monchengladbach
0 : 0
Finished
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Borussia Monchengladbach - SC Freiburg October 5, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Borussia Monchengladbach.

Line favourite market consensus: Borussia Monchengladbach. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.57 / X 3.37 / 2 2.75
  • 1X2 market: Borussia Monchengladbach 37.1% / X 28.3% / SC Freiburg 34.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 37.1%
X 28.3%
2 34.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 50.9%
Under 2.5 49.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.10.2025 17:30 UTC
Match center

Borussia Monchengladbach - SC Freiburg

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.75 market consensus · line only
X 3.37 market consensus · line only
1 2.57 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.52 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.46 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.53 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.23 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.72 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.63 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.17 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.65 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.64 37.9%
X 3.42 29.2%
2.81 35.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.55 39.2% 2.40 41.7% 2.67 37.5% 2.50 40.0% 2.55 39.2% 2.60 38.5%
X 3.30 30.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.51 28.5% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3%
2.74 36.5% 2.89 34.6% 2.81 35.6% 2.70 37.0% 2.75 36.4% 2.77 36.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.10 47.6% 2.32 43.1% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.12 47.2% 2.26 44.3%
yes 1.65 60.6% 1.61 62.1% 1.64 61.0% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.64 61.0% 1.69 59.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.50 66.7% 1.54 64.9% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8% 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.44 69.4% 1.49 67.1% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.49 67.1%
Match center
Borussia Monchengladbach
L D L L D
27.09 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 4:6 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
21.09 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 1:1 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
14.09 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 0:4 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
30.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 0:1 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
24.08 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 0:0 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.4 Conceded
2 Points
SC Freiburg
D W W L L
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 1:1 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
20.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 3:0 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
13.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 3:1 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
31.08 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 1:4 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
23.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 1:3 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBorussia Monchengladbach - SC Freiburg

Borussia Monchengladbach
1 matches total
SC Freiburg
Borussia Monchengladbach: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
SC Freiburg: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Frayburg 1:2 (12.04 13:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 12.04 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

12.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1:2
Frayburg