Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
14.09.2025 15:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Borussia Monchengladbach - Werder Bremen

Germany Football
Borussia Monchengladbach
Borussia Monchengladbach
0 : 4
Finished
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Borussia Monchengladbach - Werder Bremen September 14, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Borussia Monchengladbach.

Line favourite market consensus: Borussia Monchengladbach. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.01 / X 4.03 / 2 3.30
  • 1X2 market: Borussia Monchengladbach 47.4% / X 23.7% / Werder Bremen 28.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 68.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 47.4%
X 23.7%
2 28.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.3%
Over 2.5 68.6%
Under 2.5 31.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 14.09.2025 15:30 UTC
Match center

Borussia Monchengladbach - Werder Bremen

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.31 market consensus · line only
X 4.03 market consensus · line only
1 2.01 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.82 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 1.34 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.47 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.21 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.35 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.37 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 3.00 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.96 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.38 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.06 48.5%
X 4.07 24.6%
3.36 29.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.02 49.5% 2.06 48.5% 2.04 49.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3%
X 4.00 25.0% 4.10 24.4% 4.20 23.8% 3.90 25.6% 4.10 24.4% 4.05 24.7%
3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.48 28.7% 3.30 30.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.35 29.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet Marathonbet
no 2.95 33.9% 3.10 32.3% 2.98 33.6% 2.88 34.7% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 2.65 37.7% 2.93 34.1%
yes 1.35 74.1% 1.37 73.0% 1.35 74.1% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.49 67.1% 1.35 74.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Dafabet
draw_away 1.77 56.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4%
home_draw 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.37 73.0% 1.31 76.3%
Match center
Borussia Monchengladbach
L D L L D
30.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 0:1 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
24.08 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 0:0 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 0:1 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
10.05 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 0:2 BavariyaBavariya
03.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 4:4 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
2 Points
Werder Bremen
D L W D D
30.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 3:3 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
23.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 1:4 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 4:1 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
10.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 0:0 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
03.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 2:2 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
6 Points