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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
11.05.2025 15:30 UTC Match prediction
11.05.2025 15:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Eintracht Frankfurt - FC St. Pauli

Germany Football
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
2 : 2
Finished
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Eintracht Frankfurt - FC St. Pauli May 11, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Eintracht Frankfurt.

Line favourite market consensus: Eintracht Frankfurt. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.65 / X 4.31 / 2 5.17
  • 1X2 market: Eintracht Frankfurt 58.8% / X 22.5% / FC St. Pauli 18.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.2%
1 58.8%
X 22.5%
2 18.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.4%
Over 2.5 59.7%
Under 2.5 40.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 11.05.2025 15:30 UTC
Match center

Eintracht Frankfurt - FC St. Pauli

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.17 market consensus · line only
X 4.31 market consensus · line only
1 1.65 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.36 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 1.20 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.40 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.65 60.6%
X 4.31 23.2%
5.17 19.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.36 42.4%
home_away 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.20 83.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.62 61.7%
Under 2.5 2.40 41.7%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.28 78.1%
4.00 25.0%
Match center
Eintracht Frankfurt
D W D W L
04.05 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 1:1 MayntsMaynts
26.04 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 4:0 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
20.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 0:0 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
13.04 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 3:0 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
05.04 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 0:2 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.6 Conceded
8 Points
FC St. Pauli
L D D W D
03.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 0:1 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
27.04 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 0:0 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
20.04 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 1:1 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
12.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 2:1 Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
06.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 1:1 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
6 Points