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Bundesliga Germany

21.09.2025 13:30 UTC Match prediction

21.09.2025 13:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt - Union Berlin

Germany Football

Eintracht Frankfurt

3 : 4

Finished

Union Berlin

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Eintracht Frankfurt - Union Berlin September 21, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Eintracht Frankfurt.

Line favourite market consensus: Eintracht Frankfurt. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.63 / X 4.20 / 2 4.95
1X2 market: Eintracht Frankfurt 58.2% / X 22.7% / Union Berlin 19.2%
Total 2.5: over probability 59.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%

1 58.2%

X 22.6%

2 19.2%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.2%

Over 2.5 59.0%

Under 2.5 41.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 21.09.2025 13:30 UTC

Match center

Eintracht Frankfurt - Union Berlin

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.98 market consensus · line only

X 4.20 market consensus · line only

1 1.63 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.30 market consensus · line only

12 1.23 market consensus · line only

1X 1.18 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.32 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.82 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 4.60 market consensus · line only

2 +1 9.17 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.61 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.32 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.19 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.63 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.64 61.0%
X	4.26 23.5%
	5.26 19.0%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Betano	Betfair
	1.61 62.1%	1.61 62.1%	1.68 59.5%	1.62 61.7%	1.70 58.8%	1.57 63.7%
X	4.10 24.4%	4.40 22.7%	4.35 23.0%	4.00 25.0%	4.20 23.8%	4.00 25.0%
	5.10 19.6%	5.10 19.6%	4.92 20.3%	4.75 21.1%	5.10 19.6%	4.75 21.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	Superbet
no	2.15 46.5%	2.21 45.3%	2.24 44.6%	2.20 45.5%	2.15 46.5%	2.20 45.5%	2.17 46.1%	2.24 44.6%	2.17 46.1%
yes	1.62 61.7%	1.67 59.9%	1.65 60.6%	1.62 61.7%	1.65 60.6%	1.57 63.7%	1.61 62.1%	1.70 58.8%	1.66 60.2%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Betano	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
draw_away	2.25 44.4%	2.26 44.3%	2.30 43.5%	2.27 44.1%	2.33 42.9%	2.38 42.0%
home_away	1.18 84.8%	1.24 80.7%	1.22 82.0%	1.23 81.3%	1.24 80.7%	1.26 79.4%
home_draw	1.17 85.5%	1.20 83.3%	1.18 84.8%	1.20 83.3%	1.19 84.0%	1.19 84.0%

Match center

Eintracht Frankfurt

L W W W D

12.09 18:30 UTC Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt 1:3 Bayer Leverkusen

30.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt 3:1 1899 Hoffenheim

23.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt 4:1 Werder Bremen

17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt 3:1 Frayburg

11.05 15:30 UTC Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt 2:2 FC St. Pauli

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

2.6 Scored

1.6 Conceded

10 Points

Union Berlin

L L W W L

13.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 2:4 1899 Hoffenheim

31.08 15:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 0:3 Borussia Dortmund

23.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 2:1 VfB Stuttgart

17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 2:1 FC Augsburg

10.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Union Berlin 0:3 1. FC Heidenheim

2 Wins

0 Draws

3 Losses

1.2 Scored

2.4 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyEintracht Frankfurt - Union Berlin

Eintracht Frankfurt

1 matches total

Union Berlin

Eintracht Frankfurt: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

Union Berlin: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 27.10 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (27.10 16:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

27.10 16:30 UTC

Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt

1:1

Union Berlin