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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
23.08.2025 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Eintracht Frankfurt - Werder Bremen

Germany Football
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
4 : 1
Finished
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Eintracht Frankfurt - Werder Bremen August 23, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Eintracht Frankfurt.

Line favourite market consensus: Eintracht Frankfurt. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.65 / X 4.22 / 2 4.79
  • 1X2 market: Eintracht Frankfurt 57.6% / X 22.6% / Werder Bremen 19.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 57.6%
X 22.5%
2 19.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.8%
Over 2.5 61.8%
Under 2.5 38.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.08.2025 13:30 UTC
Match center

Eintracht Frankfurt - Werder Bremen

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.80 market consensus · line only
X 4.23 market consensus · line only
1 1.65 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.25 market consensus · line only
12 1.23 market consensus · line only
1X 1.19 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.26 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.78 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.22 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.53 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.47 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.35 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.55 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.67 59.9%
X 4.39 22.8%
4.93 20.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.64 61.0% 1.65 60.6% 1.69 59.2% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.72 58.1%
X 4.20 23.8% 4.30 23.3% 4.40 22.7% 4.00 25.0% 4.20 23.8% 4.35 23.0%
4.70 21.3% 4.85 20.6% 5.07 19.7% 4.60 21.7% 5.00 20.0% 4.75 21.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.35 42.6% 2.43 41.2% 2.35 42.6% 2.38 42.0% 2.25 44.4% 2.35 42.6% 2.38 42.0% 2.33 42.9% 2.40 41.7%
yes 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.54 64.9% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.20 45.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.22 45.1% 2.31 43.3%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7%
home_draw 1.18 84.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.20 83.3% 1.17 85.5% 1.22 82.0% 1.19 84.0%
Match center
Eintracht Frankfurt
W D D W D
17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 3:1 FrayburgFrayburg
11.05 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 2:2 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
04.05 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 1:1 MayntsMaynts
26.04 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 4:0 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
20.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 0:0 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points
Werder Bremen
W D D D W
17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 4:1 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
10.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 0:0 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
03.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 2:2 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
27.04 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 0:0 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
19.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 1:0 VfL BochumVfL Bochum
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.6 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEintracht Frankfurt - Werder Bremen

Eintracht Frankfurt
1 matches total
Werder Bremen
Eintracht Frankfurt: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Werder Bremen: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Werder Bremen 0:2 (05.04 16:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 05.04 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 0

Match history

05.04 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt
0:2
Werder Bremen