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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
04.04.2025 18:30 UTC Match prediction
04.04.2025 18:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

FC Augsburg - Bayern München

Germany Football
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
1 : 3
Finished
Bayern München
Bayern München

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Augsburg - Bayern München April 4, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayern München.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayern München. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 7.84 / X 5.15 / 2 1.41
  • 1X2 market: FC Augsburg 12.4% / X 18.8% / Bayern München 68.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.1%
1 12.4%
X 18.8%
2 68.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.8%
Over 2.5 60.8%
Under 2.5 39.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.04.2025 18:30 UTC
Match center

FC Augsburg - Bayern München

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.41 market consensus · line only
X 5.15 market consensus · line only
1 7.84 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.11 market consensus · line only
12 1.20 market consensus · line only
1X 3.13 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.60 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.48 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
7.84 12.8%
X 5.15 19.4%
1.41 70.9%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.11 90.1%
home_away 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 3.13 32.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.60 62.5%
Under 2.5 2.48 40.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
6.27 16.0%
1.15 87.0%
Match center
FC Augsburg
W L W L L
26.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 2:1 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
19.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 1:3 FrayburgFrayburg
04.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 2:1 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 0:4 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
20.09 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 2:3 MayntsMaynts
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.4 Conceded
6 Points
Bayern München
W W D D W
27.10 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 5:0 VfL BochumVfL Bochum
19.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 4:0 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
06.10 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 3:3 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
28.09 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 1:1 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
21.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 5:0 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
3.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
11 Points