Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.

Bundesliga Germany

30.08.2025 16:30 UTC Match prediction

30.08.2025 16:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

FC Augsburg - Bayern München

Germany Football

FC Augsburg

2 : 3

Finished

Bayern München

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Augsburg - Bayern München August 30, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayern München.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayern München. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 9.52 / X 6.14 / 2 1.28
1X2 market: FC Augsburg 10.1% / X 15.6% / Bayern München 74.4%
Total 2.5: over probability 67.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%

1 10.0%

X 15.5%

2 74.5%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.8%

Over 2.5 68.0%

Under 2.5 32.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Start 30.08.2025 16:30 UTC

Match center

FC Augsburg - Bayern München

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.28 market consensus · line only

X 6.15 market consensus · line only

1 9.30 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.07 market consensus · line only

12 1.13 market consensus · line only

1X 3.67 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.09 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 1.29 market consensus · line only

2 +1 1.41 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.39 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.95 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.05 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.73 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	9.67 10.3%
X	6.20 16.1%
	1.29 77.5%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	9.00 11.1%	10.00 10.0%	10.10 9.9%	9.50 10.5%	8.50 11.8%	10.25 9.8%
X	5.80 17.2%	6.80 14.7%	6.45 15.5%	6.00 16.7%	6.00 16.7%	6.00 16.7%
	1.29 77.5%	1.26 79.4%	1.31 76.3%	1.25 80.0%	1.30 76.9%	1.31 76.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.00 50.0%	2.21 45.3%	1.98 50.5%	2.10 47.6%	2.00 50.0%	1.98 50.5%	2.20 45.5%	1.96 51.0%	2.03 49.3%
yes	1.73 57.8%	1.68 59.5%	1.75 57.1%	1.70 58.8%	1.75 57.1%	1.78 56.2%	1.62 61.7%	1.75 57.1%	1.82 55.0%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.06 94.3%	1.07 93.5%	1.06 94.3%	1.08 92.6%	1.08 92.6%	1.07 93.5%
home_away	1.09 91.7%	1.15 87.0%	1.13 88.5%	1.12 89.3%	1.14 87.7%	1.14 87.7%
home_draw	3.50 28.6%	3.78 26.5%	3.80 26.3%	3.40 29.4%	3.65 27.4%	3.84 26.0%

Match center

FC Augsburg

W L L L L

23.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC Augsburg 3:1 Frayburg

17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC Augsburg 1:2 Union Berlin

11.05 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC Augsburg 0:4 VfB Stuttgart

04.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC Augsburg 1:3 Holstein Kiel

26.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC Augsburg 0:2 Bayer Leverkusen

1 Wins

0 Draws

4 Losses

1.0 Scored

2.4 Conceded

3 Points

Bayern München

W W W D W

22.08 18:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 6:0 RB Leipzig

17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 4:0 1899 Hoffenheim

10.05 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 2:0 Borussia Mönchengladbach

03.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 3:3 RB Leipzig

26.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 3:0 Maynts

4 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

3.6 Scored

0.6 Conceded

13 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC Augsburg - Bayern München

FC Augsburg

1 matches total

Bayern München

FC Augsburg: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Bayern München: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Bavariya 1:3 (04.04 18:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (1:3, 04.04 18:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 3

3 Goals conceded 1

Match history

04.04 18:30 UTC

Bundesliga

FC Augsburg

1:3

Bavariya