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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
04.10.2025 13:30 UTC Match prediction
04.10.2025 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

FC Augsburg - VfL Wolfsburg

Germany Football
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
3 : 1
Finished
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Augsburg - VfL Wolfsburg October 4, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Augsburg.

Line favourite market consensus: FC Augsburg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.52 / X 3.50 / 2 2.73
  • 1X2 market: FC Augsburg 37.9% / X 27.2% / VfL Wolfsburg 34.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 37.8%
X 27.2%
2 34.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5 54.4%
Under 2.5 45.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.10.2025 13:30 UTC
Match center

FC Augsburg - VfL Wolfsburg

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.73 market consensus · line only
X 3.51 market consensus · line only
1 2.52 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.54 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.46 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.55 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.23 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.69 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.42 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.10 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.28 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.59 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.56 39.1%
X 3.57 28.0%
2.80 35.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.50 40.0% 2.47 40.5% 2.60 38.5% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.52 39.7%
X 3.45 29.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.66 27.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6%
2.70 37.0% 2.80 35.7% 2.80 35.7% 2.63 38.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.72 36.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.25 44.4% 2.35 42.6% 2.28 43.9% 2.30 43.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.27 44.1% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.42 41.3%
yes 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.61 62.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.53 65.4% 1.56 64.1% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.56 64.1%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.45 69.0% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.49 67.1%
Match center
FC Augsburg
L L L L W
27.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 1:2 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
20.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 1:4 MayntsMaynts
14.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 1:2 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
30.08 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 2:3 BavariyaBavariya
23.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 3:1 FrayburgFrayburg
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.6 Scored
2.4 Conceded
3 Points
VfL Wolfsburg
L L D D W
27.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 0:1 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
21.09 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 0:1 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
13.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 3:3 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
31.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 1:1 MayntsMaynts
23.08 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 3:1 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
5 Points